The Dallas Mavericks (9-24) will attempt to end their seven-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Atlanta Hawks (7-25) at Philips Arena. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 23, 2017.
Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks Betting Prediction
The last time the Mavericks played, they were beaten by the Miami Heat, 113-101. Miami’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Dallas. The Heat had a rate of 0.750 (above their season average of 0.524), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.620. Yogi Ferrell was Dallas’ high scorer with 23 points on 9-for-13 shooting.
The Hawks lost a close one to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game, 120-117. Oklahoma City’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Thunder had more offensive rebounds (15 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (25 vs. 20) and total rebounds (40 vs. 27). With 27 points on 10-for-18 shooting, Marco Belinelli was Atlanta’s leading scorer.
Second-chance points might be few and far between for Atlanta in this meeting. The Hawks rank 20th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.3 percent), while Dallas ranks fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.9 percent). Additionally, the Mavericks commit the fourth-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 13.1 percent), while the gambling defense of the Hawks causes the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.3 percent).
Dallas heads into the contest with records of 9-24 straight up (SU) and 15-17 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total high when the Mavericks are involved, as 18 of their 32 games have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 7-25 SU and 16-14-1 ATS. Unlike Dallas, Hawks games have finished over the total 51.6 percent of the time.
Ferrell has averaged 14.0 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists over the last five games for Dallas.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Nerlens Noel put up 16 points and 11 rebounds in the first matchup, in which the Mavericks lost 117-111, unable to cover as 5.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 228 points, which was 29 points above the projected point total of 199 points. The Hawks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.4 vs. 20.0) and had a better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 13.6).
Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Dallas is 7-7 ATS on the road with 9 unders and 5 overs.
At home, Atlanta is 7-8 ATS with 9 overs, 5 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Atlanta is 1-3 and Dallas is 8-8.
The Mavericks are 6-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Hawks are 7-14.
Dallas ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th (14.3).
The Hawks rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while the Mavericks rank last (13.1).
Dallas averages 31.9 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Atlanta ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (31.5).
The Hawks rank fifth in steals per game (8.7) while the Mavericks rank 25th (6.7).
Dallas ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while Atlanta ranks 17th (44.3).
The Hawks rank fifth in assists per game (23.9) while the Mavericks rank 21st (21.6).
Atlanta ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while Dallas ranks last (14.6).
The Hawks rank 24th in blocks per game (4.0) while the Mavericks rank 28th (3.6).
Dallas ranks 25th in rebounds per game (40.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th (39.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.6, up from 3.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 101.4 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (2.8 below their season average).
