It will be a battle between WCC opponents when the San Diego Toreros (9-3) welcome the San Francisco Dons (8-5) to Jenny Craig Pavilion. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 28, 2017, and will air on ESPN Full Court.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 129 points with San Diego set as a 5-point favorite.
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros Betting Prediction
The last time the Dons played, they beat the Nevada Wolf Pack, 66-64. San Francisco’s 26.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Nevada, who had a mark of 20.6. The Dons’ mark was below their season average of 30.8, while the Wolf Pack’s was below their season average of 27.6. Frankie Ferrari played a pivotal role for San Francisco with 13 points and seven assists.
The Toreros dismantled the Life Pacific Warriors in their last matchup, 94-51. The Toreros, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.0, had an absurd mark of 55.6 and had a turnover percentage of 8.3 (better than their season average of 18.4). With 14 points, 12 assists and six rebounds, Isaiah Wright put together a solid outing for San Diego.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams square off. San Diego ranks 332nd in possessions per game (68.2) and San Francisco is 273rd (68.7).
San Francisco is 8-5 straight up (SU), but they are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS). Dons games tend to go under the O/U total (55.6 percent).
Meanwhile, San Diego is 9-3 SU and 4-3 ATS. Games including the Toreros also have typically finished under the O/U total (71.4 percent).
Tyler Williams has averaged 11.6 points over the last five games for San Diego.
After the Dons won both meetings against the Toreros last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, San Francisco won 60-43. San Francisco’s 0.559 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over San Diego, who had a mark of 0.324.
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego, ATS Winner – San Francisco, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
San Francisco is 1-3 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 0 overs.
At home, San Diego is 2-2 ATS with 3 unders and 1 over.
San Francisco ranks 40th in three pointers attempted per game (26.4) while San Diego ranks 84th (25.0).
The Toreros allow the 17th-fewest steals per game (5.2) while the Dons rank 59th (5.7).
San Francisco allows the fewest assists per game (8.6) while San Diego ranks 42nd (8.8).
The Dons average 37.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 91st in the nation. The Toreros rank 110th in rebounds allowed per game (34.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Francisco is 2-2 ATS with 3 unders and 1 over.
San Diego is 2-1 ATS with 2 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Dons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 2.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Toreros have scored an average of 78.0 points per game (6.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 61.4 points per game (0.3 above their season average).
