The Colorado State Rams (8-5, 1-1 MWC) look to prolong their seven-game home winning streak in a matchup against the San Diego State Aztecs (9-4, 1-1 MWC) at Moby Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 2, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 142 points with San Diego State opening as a 7.5-point favorite.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams ATS Prediction
The last time the Aztecs played, they dismantled the Utah State Aggies, 79-59. The Aztecs held the Aggies to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 28.1). The Aggies also had a turnover percentage of 26.8 (above their season average of 15.8). San Diego State rallied around Jalen McDaniels, who had 13 points and eight rebounds.
The Rams defeated the San Jose State Spartans in their last contest, 59-52. Colorado State’s 0.241 free throw rate was their biggest strength over San Jose State, who had a rate of 0.065. The Rams’ mark matched their season average, while the Spartans’ was below their season average of 0.297. Prentiss Nixon was the game’s high scorer with 19 points on 6-for-16 shooting.
The inefficient offense of Colorado State will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of San Diego State. The Rams rank 261st in offensive efficiency, while the Aztecs are 20th in defensive efficiency. The Aztecs should have the edge on that end of the court.
San Diego State holds records of 9-4 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Aztecs have a slight tendency to go over the total (54.5 percent).
Colorado State has a respectable 8-5 SU record, but they are just 3-8 ATS. Contrary to San Diego State, Rams games have a slight tendency to finish under the total (54.5 percent).
After the Rams won all three meetings against the Aztecs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Colorado State won 71-63. Colorado State did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (20-25; 80.0 percent). San Diego State, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.6 vs. 23.1).
San Diego State Aztecs at Colorado State Rams Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Diego State is 3-3 ATS with 5 overs and 1 under.
Colorado State is 2-2 ATS at home with 4 unders and 0 overs.
San Diego State ranks 28th in rebounds per game (40.5) while Colorado State ranks 134th in rebounds allowed per game (35.3).
The Aztecs average 22.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 135th in the nation. The Rams rank 239th in three pointers allowed per game (25.7).
Colorado State ranks 38th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while San Diego State ranks 126th (4.0).
The Aztecs average 14.0 assists per game, which ranks 126th in the NCAA. The Rams rank 151st in assists allowed per game (14.0).
Colorado State averages 6.2 steals per game, which ranks 110th in the nation. San Diego State ranks 133rd in steals allowed per game (6.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Diego State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Colorado State is 2-2 ATS with 3 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 12.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rams have scored an average of 70.2 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.4 points per game (5.1 below their season average).
