The Golden State Warriors (29-8) can extend a seven-game road winning streak when they meet the Dallas Mavericks (13-25) at American Airlines Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction
The Warriors will be hoping for a similar outcome after topping the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game, 141-128. Golden State made good use of their 25 trips to the free throw line, converting on 23 of them (92.0 percent). Memphis, meanwhile, was just 15-22 (68.2 percent). With 38 points on 13-for-17 shooting, Stephen Curry was the game’s high scorer.
The last time the Mavericks played, they barely escaped the Oklahoma City Thunder, 116-113. Dallas’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Oklahoma City. The Mavericks had a rate of 6.9 (better than their season average of 12.0), while the Thunder posted a mark of 10.0. With 12 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds, Dallas’ J.J. Barea played well.
The ineffective offense of Dallas will square off against the elite defense of Golden State. The Mavericks rank 21st in offensive efficiency, while the Warriors are third in defensive efficiency. The Warriors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Golden State heads into the contest with records of 29-8 straight up (SU) and 17-20 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Dallas is 13-25 SU and 19-19 ATS. In opposition of Golden State, a little over half of Mavericks games have finished under the O/U total.
Dirk Nowitzki has averaged 16.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 1.2 blocks over the last five games for Dallas.
The Warriors have emerged victorious in both games against the Mavericks this year, including a 112-97 victory in their last matchup. Golden State covered as a 10-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 209 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 210 points. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Dallas. The Warriors had a rate of 0.673 while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.512. Kevin Durant recorded a double-double with 36 points and 11 rebounds.
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 8-9 ATS on the road with 10 overs and 7 unders.
Dallas is 9-10 ATS at home with 10 unders, 8 overs and 1 push.
Golden State is 10-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 10-8.
The Warriors are 26-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 8-10.
Golden State averages 21.8 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (3.8).
Dallas ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (10.6) while Golden State ranks 27th (13.8).
The Mavericks rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while the Warriors rank 26th (18.8).
Dallas ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.7) while Golden State ranks 19th (45.1).
The Warriors rank ninth in steals per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 26th (6.6).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.5) while Dallas ranks 18th (22.2).
The Warriors rank ninth in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Mavericks rank 25th (40.7).
Dallas ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while Golden State ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (29.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 9.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (8.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
