The Georgia Bulldogs (9-3, 0-1 SEC) look to extend their seven-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Ole Miss Rebels (8-5, 1-0 SEC) at Stegeman Coliseum. The game can be seen on SEC Network at 6:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
Georgia is a 5.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 147 points.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Prediction
The Rebels will be looking for similar success after beating the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game, 74-69. The Rebels made 26 of their 33 free throws (78.8 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 11.2 (better than their season average of 14.7). Ole Miss received a boost from Deandre Burnett, who was the team’s leading scorer with 18 points on 3-for-12 shooting.
The last time the Bulldogs played, they fell to the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats, 66-61. Getting to the free throw line was one of Kentucky’s largest strengths. They had 38 free throw attempts, while Georgia had just 21. Georgia’s Yante Maten had a good game, leading the team in scoring with 17 points on 5-for-15 shooting.
The offensive glass could be a huge edge for Georgia in this matchup. The Bulldogs rank 34th in offensive rebounding percentage (35.7 percent), while Ole Miss ranks 249th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.3 percent). Also, the Rebels rank 42nd in turnover percentage (16.5 percent), while the Bulldogs rank 341st in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.6 percent).
Ole Miss is 8-5 straight up (SU), but they have a difficult time covering the spread (4-8 against the spread (ATS)). Vegas is extremely accurate when setting the total of Rebels games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Georgia owns records of 9-3 SU and 5-4 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Bulldogs are involved, as 55.6 percent of their games have ended over the total.
Maten has averaged 22.4 points, 9.0 rebounds and 1.2 blocks over the last five games for Georgia.
After the Bulldogs won the lone contest against the Rebels last season, 69-47, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Bulldogs had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.452 vs. 0.294) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.5 vs. 20.5).
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Georgia, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Ole Miss is 0-3 ATS with 2 unders and 1 over.
Georgia is 2-1 ATS at home with 3 overs and 0 unders.
Ole Miss ranks 51st in three pointers attempted per game (25.8) while Georgia ranks 239th (18.1).
The Bulldogs rank 37th in assists allowed per game (11.3) while the Rebels rank 221st (16.4).
Georgia averages 40.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 31st in the nation. Ole Miss ranks 209th in rebounds allowed per game (37.9).
The Rebels rank 19th in blocks per game (5.7) while the Bulldogs rank 64th in blocks allowed per game (3.0).
Ole Miss averages 7.2 steals per game, which ranks 69th in the NCAA. Georgia ranks 73rd in steals allowed per game (5.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders.
Georgia is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Rebels’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 5.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
