The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (11-2, 1-0 A10) put their eight-game winning streak on the line when they square off against the Dayton Flyers (6-7, 0-1 A10) at University of Dayton Arena. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
St. Bonaventure opened as a 2.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 138.5 points.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Dayton Flyers Betting Prediction
The Bonnies come in on a high note after blowing out the Massachusetts Minutemen in their last contest, 98-78. The Bonnies made 20 of their 25 free throws (80.0 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 14.9). St. Bonaventure was lifted by Jaylen Adams, who was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
In the Flyers’ last matchup, they lost to the Duquesne Dukes, 70-62. Making free throws was one of Duquesne’s biggest advantages. They were 18-21 (85.7 percent), while the Flyers were just 9-17 (52.9 percent). Dayton’s Josh Cunningham finished with 14 points and 13 rebounds in the contest.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the nation’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Dayton ranks 291st in possessions per game (67.8) and St. Bonaventure is 262nd (68.6).
St. Bonaventure comes into the game with records of 11-2 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Bonnies are involved, as six of their 10 games have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Dayton is 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS. Similarly to St. Bonaventure, just over half of Flyers games have finished under the total.
Adams has averaged 20.0 points, 5.8 assists and 1.8 steals over the last five games for St. Bonaventure.
After the Flyers won both games against the Bonnies last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the last contest, Dayton won 76-72. The Flyers knocked down 28 of their 39 free throws (71.8 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (15.6 vs. 18.0).
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Dayton Flyers Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, St. Bonaventure is 4-2 ATS with 5 unders and 1 over.
Dayton is 3-4 ATS at home with 4 overs and 3 unders.
Dayton ranks 64th in three pointers attempted per game (24.9) while St. Bonaventure ranks 256th (17.0).
The Bonnies rank 33rd in steals per game (8.0) while the Flyers rank 123rd (6.1).
St. Bonaventure ranks 166th in rebounds per game (35.2) while Dayton ranks 244th (32.4).
The Bonnies average 13.5 assists per game, which ranks 148th in the nation. The Flyers rank 149th in assists allowed per game (13.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, St. Bonaventure is 3-1 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders.
Dayton is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Bonnies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, down from 11.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 70.6 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (2.9 above their season average).
