It will be a battle between Pac-12 opponents when the Oregon State Beavers (9-5, 1-1 Pac-12) welcome the Oregon Ducks (11-4, 1-1 Pac-12) to Gill Coliseum. The game gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, January 5, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 142.5 points with Oregon opening as a 2.5-point favorite.
Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers ATS Prediction
The Ducks will be hoping for a similar result after defeating the Colorado Buffaloes in their last matchup, 77-62. The Ducks knocked down 19 of their 22 free throws (86.4 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.569 (above their season average of 0.554). Oregon was led by Troy Brown, who was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
In the Beavers’ last game, they lost a tough one against the Utah Runnin’ Utes, 66-64. Making free throws was one of Utah’s largest strengths. They were 13-16 (81.3 percent), while the Beavers were 12-16 (75.0 percent). Oregon State’s Tres Tinkle had a good performance, leading the team in scoring with 14 points on 3-for-11 shooting.
The aggressive Oregon State offense might be living from the charity stripe in this battle. The Beavers rank 13th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.319, while Oregon ranks 277th in FTA rate allowed (0.275).
Oregon heads into the game with records of 11-4 straight up (SU) and 6-8 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Ducks’ games have finished over the total.
Oregon State has a solid 9-5 SU record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (4-10 ATS). Contrary to Oregon, games including the Beavers have finished under the total 53.8 percent of the time.
Brown has averaged 12.6 points, 7.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.2 steals over the last five games for Oregon.
After the Ducks won both games against the Beavers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Oregon won 80-59. The Ducks had a much better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.104) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.589 vs. 0.388).
Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Oregon is 1-3 ATS on the road with 2 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Oregon State is 2-7 ATS with 4 overs and 4 unders.
Oregon ranks 60th in three pointers attempted per game (25.3) while Oregon State ranks 238th (18.4).
The Ducks rank 48th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while the Beavers rank 101st (6.4).
Both of these teams are exceptional at blocking the ball. Oregon is 18th in the nation with 5.8 blocks per game while Oregon State is 58th with 4.4 blocks per game.
The Ducks are 22nd in the NCAA with 10.3 assists allowed per game while the Beavers are 39th with 11.1 assists allowed per game.
Oregon is 33rd in the nation with 31.5 rebounds allowed per game while Oregon State is 36th with 31.7 rebounds allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Oregon is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Oregon State is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Ducks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, down from 12.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Beavers have scored an average of 70.2 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (2.7 below their season average).
