It will be a battle between SBC opponents when the Georgia State Panthers (10-6, 1-2 SBC) welcome the Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-10, 1-2 SBC) to GSU Sports Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN 3 at 2:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 6, 2018.
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia State Panthers Free Prediction
In the Red Wolves’ last outing, they were blown out by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 80-49. Georgia Southern’s 11.8 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Arkansas State, who had a mark of 20.0. The Eagles’ mark was better than their season average of 14.2. Deven Simms was Arkansas State’s leading scorer with 10 points on 5-for-13 shooting.
The Panthers defeated the Little Rock Trojans in their last matchup, 73-64. The Panthers had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.469 (above their season average of 0.179) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 42.4 (above their season average of 24.6). D’Marcus Simonds was the game’s leading scorer with 19 points on 3-for-12 shooting.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Arkansas State offense. Arkansas State ranks 258th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.4 percent), while the disruptive defense of Georgia State forces the 12th-most turnovers in the NCAA (24.7 percent).
Jeff Thomas has averaged 11.2 points over the last five games for Georgia State.
After the Red Wolves won the lone contest against the Panthers last season, 78-67, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. One of Arkansas State’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 31 free throw attempts, while Georgia State had 18.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia State Panthers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Arkansas State ranks 30th in three pointers allowed per game (18.6) while Georgia State ranks 201st (24.2).
The Panthers rank 50th in blocks per game (4.6) while the Red Wolves rank 124th (3.1).
Georgia State ranks 17th in steals per game (8.8) while Arkansas State ranks 90th (6.8).
The Panthers rank 173rd in assists per game (13.1) while the Red Wolves rank 237th (11.0).
Arkansas State ranks 218th in rebounds per game (33.3) while Georgia State ranks 238th (32.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 2.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Panthers have scored an average of 69.0 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.8 points per game (0.4 above their season average).
