The No. 17 Arizona Wildcats (12-4, 2-1 Pac-12) welcome the Oregon State Beavers (10-5, 2-1 Pac-12) to McKale Memorial Center as they try to lengthen their six-game home winning streak. The game will air on Pac-12 Network at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 11, 2018.
Arizona is a 15-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 145.5 points.
Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona Wildcats ATS Prediction
In the Beavers’ last contest, they defeated the Oregon Ducks, 76-64. The Beavers had a much better free throw rate (0.264 vs. 0.087) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.585 (above their season average of 0.529). With 19 points on 7-for-15 shooting, Tres Tinkle was the game’s high scorer.
The Wildcats lost a close one to the Colorado Buffaloes in their last outing, 80-77. Making free throws was one of Colorado’s biggest advantages. They were 15-17 (88.2 percent), while the Wildcats were 14-17 (82.4 percent). With 26 points on 11-for-17 shooting, Deandre Ayton was the game’s high scorer.
The high-powered offense of Arizona will square off against the mid-tier defense of Oregon State. The Wildcats rank 14th in offensive efficiency, while the Beavers are 138th in defensive efficiency. The Wildcats should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Oregon State is 10-5 straight up (SU), but they are just 5-10 against the spread (ATS). Of the Beavers’ 14 games that accepted bets, eight have finished under the total.
Arizona is 12-4 SU, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (6-9-1 ATS). Contrary to Oregon State, Wildcats games have typically gone over the total (56.3 percent).
After the Wildcats won the lone contest against the Beavers last season, 71-54, these teams will meet for the first time this year. The Wildcats knocked down 20 of their 26 free throws (76.9 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.9 vs. 23.5).
Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Arizona, ATS Winner – Arizona, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Oregon State is 2-3 ATS on the road with 3 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Arizona is 3-4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 4 unders.
Oregon State ranks 37th in assists allowed per game (11.1) while Arizona ranks 142nd (13.7).
The Wildcats allow the 11th-fewest rebounds per game (30.4) while the Beavers rank 44th (32.0).
Oregon State ranks 56th in steals per game (7.3) while Arizona ranks 83rd in steals allowed per game (6.1).
The Wildcats rank 44th in blocks per game (4.6) while the Beavers rank 61st (4.2).
Arizona ranks 225th in three pointers attempted per game (18.6) while Oregon State ranks 236th (18.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Oregon State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Arizona is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Beavers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 6.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wildcats have scored an average of 82.2 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.2 points per game (2.5 below their season average).
