The Detroit Pistons (22-19) will attempt to extend their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Charlotte Hornets (16-25) at Little Caesars Arena. The game will air on NBATV at 12:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 15, 2018.
Detroit is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 205 points.
Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction
The Hornets are hoping for a better outcome after their 101-91 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last contest. Oklahoma City’s 7.8 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Charlotte, who had a mark of 13.1. The Thunder’s mark was better than their season average of 12.6. Dwight Howard had a solid game for Charlotte, putting up 11 points and 17 rebounds.
In the Pistons’ last matchup, they lost a tough one against the Chicago Bulls, 107-105. Chicago’s 0.580 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a mark of 0.511. The Bulls’ mark was above their season average of 0.500. With 21 points and 15 rebounds, Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a solid performance.
Points at the line could be few and far between for Detroit in this matchup. The Pistons currently rank 28th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.166, while Charlotte ranks eighth in FTA rate allowed (0.180). Additionally, the Hornets rank third in turnover percentage (12.7 percent), while the Pistons rank fifth in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.5 percent).
Charlotte heads into the contest with records of 16-25 straight up (SU) and 16-21-4 against the spread (ATS). Hornets games have typically gone under the total (56.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Detroit owns records of 22-19 SU and 23-16-2 ATS. Much like Charlotte, games involving the Pistons also tend to go under the O/U total (58.5 percent).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Tobias Harris scored a game-high 27 points in the first game, in which the Pistons defeated the Hornets 102-90, covering as 2.5-point favorites. He also put up 10 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 192 points, which was 10 points below the projected point total of 202 points. The Pistons had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (17.0 vs. 7.3) and had a much better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 16.5).
Charlotte Hornets vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Charlotte is 6-9-3 ATS on the road with 9 unders, 8 overs and 1 push.
At home, Detroit is 10-7-1 ATS with 10 unders and 8 overs.
Detroit is 12-4 when they allow below 100 points, while Charlotte is 8-2.
The Hornets are 15-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 19-7.
Charlotte ranks third in rebounds per game (46.5) while Detroit ranks 19th (42.2).
The Pistons rank 16th in steals per game (7.7) while the Hornets rank 26th (6.6).
Charlotte ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.6) while Detroit ranks last (3.4).
The Pistons rank 20th in assists per game (22.0) while the Hornets rank 29th (20.5).
Detroit ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (28.2) while Charlotte ranks 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (30.4).
The Pistons rank second in fast break points allowed per game (8.6) while the Hornets rank seventh (9.9).
Charlotte ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while Detroit ranks fourth (14.6).
The Hornets allow the fewest second chance points per game (9.8) while the Pistons rank third (10.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Hornets have outscored opponents by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Charlotte has lost by an average of 1.0 point.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (1.3 above their season average).
