The Texas A&M Aggies (11-6, 0-5 SEC) look to put an end to their five-game losing streak when they take on the Ole Miss Rebels (10-7, 3-2 SEC) at Reed Arena. The game can be seen on SEC Network at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 16, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 146.5 points with Texas A&M opening as an 11-point favorite.
Ole Miss Rebels at Texas A&M Aggies Betting Prediction
The last time the Rebels played, they defeated the Florida Gators, 78-72. The Rebels made 22 of their 26 free throws (84.6 percent) and held the Gators to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.9 (below their season average of 31.6). Ole Miss rallied around Bruce Stevens, who led the team in scoring with 22 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The Aggies lost to the No. 24 Tennessee Volunteers in their last matchup, 75-62. Converting at the free throw line was one of Tennessee’s largest strengths. They were 20-23 (87.0 percent), while the Aggies were just 6-10 (60.0 percent). With 16 points on 7-for-13 shooting, Admon Gilder was the game’s high scorer.
Texas A&M could dominate the offensive glass in this battle. The Aggies rank 45th in offensive rebounding percentage (34.6 percent), while Ole Miss ranks 261st in defensive rebounding percentage (69.4 percent). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Rebels. They rank 27th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.1 percent), while the Aggies force the 36th-fewest turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.6 percent).
Ole Miss comes into the game with records of 10-7 straight up (SU) and 6-10 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Rebels are involved, as 10 of their 16 games have finished under the projected point total.
Texas A&M is 11-6 SU, but they struggle covering the spread (6-8 ATS). Much like Ole Miss, games featuring the Aggies also have a tendency to finish under the total (57.1 percent).
After the Aggies won the sole game against the Rebels last season, 80-76, these teams will meet for the first time this year. Texas A&M had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (50.0 vs. 23.3). Ole Miss, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (17.2 vs. 18.4).
Ole Miss Rebels at Texas A&M Aggies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Ole Miss, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Ole Miss is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS at home with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Texas A&M ranks fourth in rebounds per game (42.3) while Ole Miss ranks 239th in rebounds allowed per game (38.7).
The Aggies rank 27th in assists per game (17.2) while the Rebels rank 229th in assists allowed per game (16.0).
Ole Miss averages 25.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 42nd in the NCAA. Texas A&M ranks 228th in three pointers allowed per game (25.1).
The Rebels rank 26th in blocks per game (5.2) while the Aggies rank 141st in blocks allowed per game (4.3).
Ole Miss ranks 90th in steals per game (6.8) while Texas A&M ranks 130th in steals allowed per game (6.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Ole Miss is 3-2 ATS with 5 unders.
Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Rebels have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Ole Miss has defeated opponents by an average of 3.6 points.
During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 65.2 points per game (11.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 76.0 points per game (8.2 above their season average).
