The Brooklyn Nets (16-28) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they clash with the San Antonio Spurs (29-16) at Barclays Center. The game will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 17, 2018.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
The Spurs are trying to rebound after their 102-99 loss to the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup. Atlanta’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over San Antonio. The Hawks had a rate of 27.5 (above their season average of 22.8), while the Spurs posted a mark of 17.0 (below their season average of 23.2). LaMarcus Aldridge was San Antonio’s leading scorer with 25 points on 11-for-21 shooting.
The last time the Nets played, they were beaten by the New York Knicks, 119-104. New York’s 0.567 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Brooklyn, who had a mark of 0.431. The Knicks’ mark was above their season average of 0.512, while the Nets’ was below their season average of 0.505. DeMarre Carroll put together a solid performance for Brooklyn, leading the team in scoring with 22 points on 6-for-13 shooting.
The ineffective offense of Brooklyn will clash against the top-notch defense of San Antonio. The Nets currently rank 25th in offensive efficiency, while the Spurs are second in defensive efficiency. The Spurs figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
San Antonio comes into the game with records of 29-16 straight up (SU) and 23-19-3 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Spurs tend to finish under the total (57.8 percent).
Brooklyn has an outstanding record ATS (27-17), despite being 16-28 SU. Much like San Antonio, just over half of Nets games have finished under the O/U total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Pau Gasol put up 15 points, 12 rebounds and five assists in the first game, in which the Spurs beat the Nets 109-97, covering as 11.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 206 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 207 points. The Spurs made 20 of their 24 free throws (83.3 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.556 vs. 0.484).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 8-14-2 ATS with 16 unders, 7 overs and 1 push.
Brooklyn is 12-9 ATS at home with 11 unders and 10 overs.
When allowing less than 100 points, Brooklyn is 10-1 and San Antonio is 19-7.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Spurs are 22-3 and the Nets are 12-20.
San Antonio ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (5.7).
The Nets rank second in three pointers attempted per game (34.1) while the Spurs rank 26th (24.4).
San Antonio ranks ninth in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (46.1).
The Spurs rank 19th in steals per game (7.4) while the Nets rank 29th (6.5).
San Antonio averages 16.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Brooklyn ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
The Spurs rank 13th in second chance points per game (12.6) while the Nets rank 17th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Antonio is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 3.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 104.0 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.2 points per game (4.9 above their season average).
