The Arkansas Razorbacks (12-5, 2-3 SEC) visit Florida to take on the Gators (12-5, 4-1 SEC) in what should be a high-scoring game. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 17, 2018, and will air on ESPN2.
Florida opened as a 6-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 156 points.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators ATS Prediction
The Razorbacks come in on a high note after just getting past the Missouri Tigers in their last matchup, 65-63. The Razorbacks had a superb free throw rate of 0.280 (above their season average of 0.244), while the Tigers had a turnover percentage of 22.2 (above their season average of 18.3). Arkansas was led by Daniel Gafford, who led the team in scoring with 15 points on 6-for-11 shooting.
In the Gators’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Ole Miss Rebels, 78-72. Ole Miss made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, making 22 of them (84.6 percent). Florida, on the other hand, was 16-22 (72.7 percent). With 11 points and 11 rebounds, Florida’s Egor Koulechov had a solid performance.
This contest figures to be a shootout as a pair of the NCAA’s premier offenses battle. Florida ranks 33rd with 115.2 points per 100 possessions and Arkansas is 34th (114.9).
Arkansas heads into the contest with records of 12-5 straight up (SU) and 9-8 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Razorbacks’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Florida is 12-5 SU and 8-8 ATS. There does not appear to be a trend for games involving the Gators in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Koulechov has averaged 18.2 points and 6.4 rebounds over the last five games for Florida.
After the Gators won both games against the Razorbacks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Florida won 78-65. Florida had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.596 vs. 0.407). Arkansas, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of making free throws (17-23; 73.9 percent).
Arkansas Razorbacks at Florida Gators Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Arkansas is 3-4 ATS on the road with 5 unders and 2 overs.
Florida is 3-5 ATS at home with 4 unders and 2 overs.
Florida ranks 60th in three pointers attempted per game (24.8) while Arkansas ranks 187th in three pointers allowed per game (23.6).
The Gators rank 43rd in steals per game (7.6) while the Razorbacks rank 96th (6.6).
Arkansas ranks 36th in blocks per game (4.8) while Florida ranks 60th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
The Gators average 36.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 135th in the nation. The Razorbacks rank 154th in rebounds allowed per game (35.5).
Arkansas averages 15.9 assists per game, which ranks 57th in the nation. Florida ranks 66th in assists allowed per game (12.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Arkansas is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Florida is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Razorbacks have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Arkansas has defeated opponents by an average of 10.1 points.
During their last five games, the Gators have scored an average of 76.8 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.4 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
