The No. 25 USC Trojans (13-6, 4-2 Pac-12) visit Oregon to take on the Ducks (12-6, 2-3 Pac-12) in a game that has the potential to be high-scoring. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 18, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 152.5 points with Oregon set as a 2-point favorite.
USC Trojans at Oregon Ducks Betting Prediction
In the Trojans’ last contest, they topped the Utah Runnin’ Utes, 84-67. USC’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Utah. The Trojans had a rate of 8.5 (better than their season average of 14.1), while the Runnin’ Utes posted a mark of 22.9 (above their season average of 16.3). Jordan McLaughlin had a solid performance for USC, finishing with 14 points and seven assists.
The Ducks fell to the No. 17 Arizona Wildcats in their last matchup, 90-83. Arizona made good use of their 37 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 34 of them (91.9 percent). Oregon, meanwhile, was 21-24 (87.5 percent). With 20 points and seven rebounds, MiKyle McIntosh had a solid performance for Oregon.
This matchup figures to be a shootout as a pair of the nation’s premier offenses face off. Oregon ranks 52nd with 113.2 points per 100 possessions and USC is 33rd (114.8).
USC heads into the game with records of 13-6 straight up (SU) and 11-7-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Trojans’ 18 games with betting action, eight have finished under, nine have finished over and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Oregon owns records of 12-6 SU and 8-9 ATS. Vegas is highly precise when setting the total of Ducks games, with an even split between overs and unders.
After the Ducks won both matchups against the Trojans last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, Oregon won 81-70. The Ducks had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.531 vs. 0.424) and had a better turnover percentage (15.3 vs. 18.8).
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducks Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, USC is 6-2 ATS with 4 overs and 4 unders.
Oregon is 5-5 ATS at home with 5 overs and 4 unders.
Oregon ranks 39th in three pointers attempted per game (26.0) while USC ranks 220th in three pointers allowed per game (24.7).
The Ducks rank 34th in assists allowed per game (11.2) while the Trojans rank 144th (13.8).
USC averages 4.6 blocks per game, which ranks 47th in the NCAA. Oregon ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (2.2).
The Trojans allow the 21st-fewest steals per game (4.9) while the Ducks rank 50th (5.5).
Oregon ranks 42nd in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while USC ranks 65th (32.9).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, USC is 3-1-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Oregon is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Trojans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.8, up from 8.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Ducks have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (10.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.2 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
