The No. 24 TCU Horned Frogs (14-4, 2-4 Big 12) head to Kansas State to play the Wildcats (13-5, 3-3 Big 12) in a game that has the potential to be high-scoring. The game starts at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 20, 2018, and will air on ESPNU.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction
In the Horned Frogs’ last outing, they thoroughly outplayed the Iowa State Cyclones, 96-73. The Horned Frogs had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 5.5 (better than their season average of 14.8), while the Cyclones had a free throw rate of 0.085 (below their season average of 0.229). With 26 points on 11-for-13 shooting, Vladimir Brodziansky was the game’s high scorer.
The Wildcats had no trouble getting past the No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners in their last matchup, 87-69. Kansas State’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Oklahoma. The Wildcats had a rate of 15.5 (worse than their season average of 14.6), while the Sooners posted a mark of 22.8 (above their season average of 14.7). With 21 points, seven rebounds and seven assists, Kansas State’s Dean Wade played well.
Kansas State could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the nation. The Wildcats currently rank 26th in offensive efficiency, while TCU ranks 263rd in defensive efficiency. Conflicting styles will be on display in this meeting. The fast-breaking Horned Frogs rank 57th in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Wildcats rank 322nd.
Brodziansky has averaged 18.0 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 blocks over the last five games for TCU.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, the Wildcats won 75-74. The Wildcats had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.7 vs. 31.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.291 vs. 0.269).
TCU Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – TCU, ATS Winner – TCU, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
TCU ranks 85th in rebounds per game (37.3) while Kansas State ranks 257th (31.5).
The Wildcats average 15.4 assists per game, which ranks 66th in the nation. The Horned Frogs rank 222nd in assists allowed per game (16.3).
Kansas State ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while TCU ranks 119th (3.9).
The Wildcats average 21.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 143rd in the NCAA. The Horned Frogs rank 212th in three pointers allowed per game (23.8).
Kansas State ranks 21st in steals per game (8.3) while TCU ranks 70th (7.1).
Bettings Trends:
The Horned Frogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 10.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wildcats have scored an average of 74.4 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 75.0 points per game (8.5 above their season average).
