The San Antonio Spurs (30-17) can continue a 14-game home winning streak when they square off against the Indiana Pacers (24-22) at AT&T Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 21, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
San Antonio is a 6-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 199.5 points.
Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
In the Pacers’ last contest, they were topped by the Los Angeles Lakers, 99-86. Los Angeles’ 0.606 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Indiana, who had a mark of 0.392. The Lakers’ mark was above their season average of 0.504, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 0.536. Indiana’s Domantas Sabonis played well, finishing with 15 points and 14 rebounds.
The Spurs lost a tough one against the Toronto Raptors in their last outing, 86-83. Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio. The Raptors had a rate of 0.453 (below their season average of 0.533), while the Spurs posted a mark of 0.368 (below their season average of 0.511). San Antonio’s LaMarcus Aldridge had a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 17 points on 6-for-25 shooting.
Getting to the line could be few and far between for San Antonio in this matchup. The Spurs currently rank 16th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.190, while Indiana ranks third in FTA rate allowed (0.163). Moreover, the Pacers rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.533), while the Spurs rank fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.503).
Indiana heads into the game with records of 24-22 straight up (SU) and 25-21 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total high when the Pacers are involved, as 58.7 percent of their games have ended under the total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio owns records of 30-17 SU and 24-19-4 ATS. Coinciding with Indiana, games featuring the Spurs also have a tendency to go under the O/U total (59.6 percent).
Sabonis has averaged 11.6 points and 11.0 rebounds over the last five games for Indiana.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Sabonis had 22 points and 12 rebounds and the Pacers defeated the Spurs 97-94, covering as 6.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 191 points, which was 18 points below the projected point total of 209 points. Indiana’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over San Antonio. The Pacers had a rate of 0.195, while the Spurs posted a mark of 0.144.
Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Indiana is 12-10 ATS on the road with 12 unders and 10 overs.
San Antonio is 15-5-1 ATS at home with 11 overs and 10 unders.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Indiana is 14-2 and San Antonio is 20-8.
The Spurs are 23-3 when they score above 100 points, while the Pacers are 21-9.
San Antonio ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while Indiana ranks 23rd (5.3).
The Pacers rank third in fast break points per game (14.8) while the Spurs rank 24th (9.4).
Indiana ranks 13th in points in the paint per game (44.3) while San Antonio ranks 26th (41.3).
The Pacers rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Spurs rank 17th (7.9).
Indiana ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while San Antonio ranks 13th (15.7).
The Spurs rank 14th in second chance points per game (12.7) while the Pacers rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9).
San Antonio averages 44.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Indiana ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (42.9).
The Pacers rank 24th in three pointers attempted per game (24.8) while the Spurs rank 26th (24.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 5 unders.
San Antonio is 2-2-1 ATS with 5 unders over their last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.6, up from 0.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 95.0 points per game (5.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 91.2 points per game (6.4 below their season average).
