It will be a battle between MAAC opponents when the Fairfield Stags (7-11, 2-5 MAAC) welcome the Rider Broncs (13-7, 6-2 MAAC) to Webster Bank Arena at Harbor Yard. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 23, 2018.
Rider is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 157.5 points.
Rider Broncs at Fairfield Stags ATS Prediction
In the Broncs’ last contest, they defeated the Marist Red Foxes, 60-57. The Broncs held the Red Foxes to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.9 (below their season average of 23.5). The Red Foxes had a free throw rate of 0.180 (below their season average of 0.278). Anthony Durham was a key piece for Rider with 10 points, 11 rebounds and five assists.
The Stags had no trouble getting past the Niagara Purple Eagles in their last contest, 104-85. The Stags had a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 17.4) and held the Purple Eagles to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 31.0). Tyler Nelson was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 7-for-20 shooting.
Rider should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Broncs rank 91st in offensive efficiency, while Fairfield ranks 270th in defensive efficiency.
Rider holds records of 13-7 straight up (SU) and 10-5-1 against the spread (ATS). Broncs games have typically gone over the total (68.8 percent).
Meanwhile, Fairfield is 7-11 SU and 6-8 ATS. Stags games also have typically gone over the total (57.1 percent).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Frederick Scott scored a game-high 25 points in the first game, in which the Broncs beat the Stags 96-77, covering as 5.5-point favorites. He also had eight rebounds. The game finished with a total of 173 points, which was 18 points above the projected point total of 155 points. The Broncs had a much better turnover percentage (13.1 vs. 21.1) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.594 vs. 0.484).
Rider Broncs at Fairfield Stags Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rider, ATS Winner – Rider, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Rider is 8-3-1 ATS with 9 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Fairfield is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Fairfield averages 26.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 31st in the nation. Rider ranks 267th in three pointers allowed per game (26.2).
The Broncs rank 17th in rebounds per game (40.5) while the Stags rank 210th (34.3).
Fairfield ranks 39th in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while Rider ranks 169th (5.3).
The Stags average 14.8 assists per game, which ranks 89th in the NCAA. The Broncs rank 213th in assists allowed per game (15.3).
Rider ranks 66th in steals per game (7.1) while Fairfield ranks 102nd in steals allowed per game (6.3).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Rider is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Fairfield is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Broncs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 3.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Stags have scored an average of 77.6 points per game (4.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 83.8 points per game (7.6 above their season average).
