It will be a battle between MAC opponents when the Northern Illinois Huskies (9-10, 2-4 MAC) welcome the Bowling Green Falcons (12-7, 3-3 MAC) to Convocation Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 23, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 154 points with Northern Illinois opening as a 2-point favorite.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Northern Illinois Huskies ATS Prediction
In the Falcons’ last outing, they were beaten by the Central Michigan Chippewas, 84-75. Central Michigan’s 14.4 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Bowling Green, who had a rate of 21.3. The Chippewas’ mark was better than their season average of 15.3, while the Falcons’ was above their season average of 14.9. Demajeo Wiggins played well for Bowling Green, contributing 13 points and 11 rebounds.
The Huskies lost to the Akron Zips in their last outing, 82-67. Akron launched 31 three pointers, making 15 of them (48.4 percent), while Northern Illinois was 4-15 (26.7 percent). With 16 points on 5-for-12 shooting, Dante Thorpe led Northern Illinois in scoring.
Bowling Green could struggle to create turnovers. Northern Illinois ranks 83rd in the nation at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 17.5 percent), while Bowling Green forces the 248th-most turnovers (18.2 percent).
Bowling Green comes into the game with records of 12-7 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS). Of the Falcons’ 12 games with betting action, five have finished under, six have finished over and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is 9-10 SU and 7-8 ATS. In opposition of Bowling Green, a little over half of Huskies games have finished under the total.
Wiggins has averaged 17.6 points and 11.6 rebounds over the last five games for Bowling Green.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Wiggins recorded 15 points and 15 rebounds and the Falcons defeated the Huskies 66-57, covering as 2.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 123 points, which was 31.5 points below the projected point total of 154.5 points. The Falcons had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.0 vs. 11.1) and had a much better free throw rate (0.276 vs. 0.175).
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Bowling Green, ATS Winner – Bowling Green, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS with 4 unders and 2 overs.
Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS at home with 4 unders and 1 over.
Bowling Green ranks 106th in assists per game (14.4) while Northern Illinois ranks 256th (10.3).
The Falcons rank 44th in rebounds per game (39.0) while the Huskies rank 183rd (35.2).
Bowling Green ranks 134th in three pointers attempted per game (22.1) while Northern Illinois ranks 262nd (16.6).
The Huskies rank 15th in steals allowed per game (4.8) while the Falcons rank 97th (6.2).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Bowling Green is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Falcons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.6, up from 1.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Huskies have scored an average of 66.2 points per game (7.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 77.4 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
