The Indiana Pacers (26-23) take on the Orlando Magic (14-33) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game will air on Fox SportsNet Florida at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 27, 2018.
Indiana opened as a 6-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 213.5 points.
Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers Free Prediction
In the Magic’s last contest, they were beaten by the Sacramento Kings, 105-99. Sacramento’s 13.1 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Orlando, who had a mark of 15.7. The Kings’ mark was worse than their season average of 13.0. Orlando’s Elfrid Payton had a good game, finishing with 21 points, seven rebounds and seven assists.
The Pacers lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last outing, 115-108. Cleveland’s 0.122 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Indiana, who had a mark of 0.099. The Cavaliers’ mark was below their season average of 0.224, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 0.172. With 25 points on 9-for-19 shooting, Victor Oladipo led Indiana in scoring.
Indiana should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Indiana ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.1 percent), while Orlando forces the eighth-fewest turnovers (13.5 percent). Additionally, the Magic rank 22nd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.182), while the Pacers rank second in opponents’ FTA rate (0.163).
Orlando heads into the game with records of 14-33 straight up (SU) and 19-27-1 against the spread (ATS). Magic games tend to go under the O/U total (57.4 percent).
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 26-23 SU and 27-21 ATS. Coinciding with Orlando, Pacers games also tend to go under the O/U total (58.3 percent).
The Pacers have emerged victorious in both matchups against the Magic this year, including a 12-point victory the last time these teams met. Indiana covered as a 5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 230 points, which was 11 points above the projected point total of 219 points. The Pacers made 22 of their 26 free throws (84.6 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.627 vs. 0.522). Oladipo was the game’s top overall scorer with 26 points.
Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Orlando is 12-13-1 ATS with 14 unders and 12 overs.
Indiana is 14-11 ATS at home with 15 unders, 9 overs and 1 push.
Orlando is 7-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Indiana is 15-2.
The Magic are 14-17 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 22-10.
Indiana ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while Orlando ranks 23rd (17.6).
The Pacers average 15.0 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Magic rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (12.2).
Orlando ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while Indiana ranks 25th (31.0).
The Magic average 46.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Pacers rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.1).
Indiana ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Orlando ranks 19th (8.0).
The Pacers rank 15th in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while the Magic rank 29th (46.0).
Indiana averages 22.4 assists per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Orlando ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (24.4).
The Magic average 4.9 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Pacers rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
Indiana ranks 17th in second chance points allowed per game (12.8) while Orlando ranks 25th (13.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Orlando is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Orlando has been defeated by an average of 5.2 points.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 98.0 points per game (8.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (5.2 below their season average).
