The Sacramento Kings (15-33) will have their hands full against the league’s top scoring defense when they square off against the San Antonio Spurs (32-19) at AT&T Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 28, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 193 points with San Antonio opening as a 10.5-point favorite.
Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction
In the Kings’ last outing, they defeated the Miami Heat, 89-88. Sacramento held the Heat to an effective field goal percentage of 0.451 (below their season average of 0.525). Miami, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (14-18; 77.8 percent). Sacramento was lifted by Buddy Hield, who was the game’s high scorer with 24 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
The Spurs got blown out by the Philadelphia 76ers in their last outing, 97-78. Philadelphia out-rebounded San Antonio. The 76ers had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. five), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 31) and total rebounds (50 vs. 36). With 10 points, nine rebounds and five assists, Dejounte Murray had a good performance for San Antonio.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams square off. San Antonio ranks 29th in possessions per game (95.9) and Sacramento is 25th (97.1). Also, the Kings’ 30th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 100.8) will face off against the Spurs’ second-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 101.4).
Sacramento comes into the game with records of 15-33 straight up (SU) and 20-25-3 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Kings have a slight tendency to finish over the total (50.0 percent).
Meanwhile, San Antonio owns records of 32-19 SU and 26-21-4 ATS. Spurs games have typically finished under the total (58.8 percent).
The Spurs have won both matchups against the Kings this season, including a 107-100 victory the last time these teams met. San Antonio covered as a 5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 207 points, which was 7.5 points above the projected point total of 199.5 points. The Spurs’ 9.5 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Kings, who had a mark of 16.8. LaMarcus Aldridge recorded a double-double with 31 points and 12 rebounds.
Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Odds Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Sacramento is 11-13-3 ATS with 14 unders, 12 overs and 1 push.
San Antonio is 16-7-1 ATS at home with 12 overs and 12 unders.
Sacramento is 10-4 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 21-10.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Kings are 10-11 and the Spurs are 25-3.
San Antonio ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.0) while Sacramento ranks 28th (31.5).
The Spurs rank third in blocks per game (5.5) while the Kings rank 23rd (4.1).
San Antonio ranks 11th in rebounds per game (44.3) while Sacramento ranks 29th (40.3).
The Kings rank eighth in steals per game (8.3) while the Spurs rank 18th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
San Antonio ranks 20th in assists per game (22.1) while Sacramento ranks 28th (20.9).
The Spurs rank 21st in fast break points per game (9.9) while the Kings rank 25th (9.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 8.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 93.8 points per game (6.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 92.8 points per game (4.6 below their season average).
