The Los Angeles Clippers (25-24) challenge the Portland Trail Blazers (27-22) at Staples Center. The game is scheduled to start at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018.
Los Angeles opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points.
Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction
The last time the Trail Blazers played, they beat the Dallas Mavericks, 107-93. The Trail Blazers held the Mavericks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.4 (below the 21.5 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season) and had a free throw rate of 0.241 (above their season average of 0.190). Portland rallied around Ed Davis, who had 15 points and 13 rebounds.
The Clippers were victorious over the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game, 112-103. The Clippers held the Pelicans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below the 24.7 mark opponents have averaged against Los Angeles this season) and had a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 13.2). Blake Griffin was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 10-for-22 shooting.
The aggressive Los Angeles offense might be getting to the free throw line a lot in this contest. The Clippers rank fifth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.226, while Portland ranks 17th in FTA rate allowed (0.199).
Portland heads into the game with records of 27-22 straight up (SU) and 23-21-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Trail Blazers are involved, as 59.2 percent of their games have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 25-24 SU and 27-21-1 ATS. Unlike Portland, Clippers games have a tendency to finish over the total (55.1 percent).
Lou Williams has averaged 25.6 points, 7.2 assists and 3.2 steals over the last five games for Los Angeles.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Griffin put up 25 points, eight rebounds and five assists in the first matchup, in which the Clippers beat the Trail Blazers 104-103, covering as 2-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 207 points, which was 9.5 points below the projected point total of 216.5 points. Los Angeles had a better free throw rate (0.299 vs. 0.213). Portland, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.4 vs. 10.6).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Portland is 14-9-2 ATS on the road with 14 unders and 11 overs.
At home, Los Angeles is 13-12 ATS with 15 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
Portland is 16-4 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 10-2.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 22-12 and the Clippers are 23-17.
Portland ranks seventh in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (14.6).
The Trail Blazers rank first in assists allowed per game (19.8) while the Clippers rank 21st (23.8).
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (49.1) while Portland ranks 21st (41.9).
The Clippers rank 13th in steals per game (8.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (6.8).
Portland averages 44.5 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Los Angeles ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (44.2).
The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (25.9) while the Clippers rank 17th (29.2).
Portland ranks 13th in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (13.4).
The Trail Blazers average 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Clippers rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Los Angeles ranks 16th in points off turnovers per game (16.6) while Portland ranks 26th (14.6).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Portland is 4-0-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 1.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (6.1 above their season average).
