The Ole Miss Rebels (11-10, 4-4 SEC) will try to continue their six-game home winning streak in a matchup against the No. 11 Auburn Tigers (19-2, 7-1 SEC) at The Pavilion at Ole Miss. The game can be seen on SEC Network at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018.
Auburn opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 163 points.
Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Free Prediction
The last time the Tigers played, they blew out the LSU Tigers, 95-70. Auburn’s 50.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over LSU, who had a rate of 29.4. Auburn was lifted by Mustapha Heron, who was the top scorer from either team with 21 points on 8-for-10 shooting.
The Rebels fell to the Texas Longhorns in their last matchup, 85-72. Texas’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Ole Miss. The Longhorns had a rate of 8.7 (better than their season average of 15.7), while the Rebels posted a mark of 12.3. Ole Miss’ Dominik Olejniczak recorded 16 points and six rebounds in the game.
The aggressive Ole Miss offense seems poised to dominate from the free throw line. The Rebels rank 84th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.268, while Auburn ranks 308th in FTA rate allowed (0.287). Also, the 16th-ranked offense of the Tigers (offensive efficiency of 117.2) will go head-to-head against the 254th-ranked defense of the Rebels (defensive efficiency of 106.3).
Auburn holds records of 19-2 straight up (SU) and 13-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is extremely accurate when predicting totals of Tigers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Ole Miss owns records of 11-10 SU and 9-11 ATS. Games including the Rebels tend to finish under the O/U total (60.0 percent).
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Anfernee McLemore put up 13 points and nine rebounds in the first game, in which the Tigers beat the Rebels 85-70, covering as 12-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 155 points, which was 8.5 points below the projected point total of 163.5 points. The Tigers knocked down 29 of their 37 free throws (78.4 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.400).
Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Free Pick
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Auburn, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Auburn is 7-3 ATS with 5 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Ole Miss is 7-5 ATS with 7 unders, 4 overs and 1 push.
Auburn averages 39.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 26th in the nation. Ole Miss ranks 232nd in rebounds allowed per game (37.8).
The Tigers rank 64th in assists allowed per game (12.0) while the Rebels rank 237th (16.0).
Auburn ranks 38th in three pointers attempted per game (26.1) while Ole Miss ranks 209th in three pointers allowed per game (23.6).
The Tigers rank 37th in steals per game (7.7) while the Rebels rank 122nd (6.3).
Auburn ranks sixth in blocks per game (6.2) while Ole Miss ranks 75th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Auburn is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.0, down from 13.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rebels have scored an average of 78.0 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 78.2 points per game (2.3 above their season average).
