The Georgia State Panthers (16-6, 7-2 SBC) will attempt to continue their seven-game winning streak against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-14, 3-6 SBC) at Convocation Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 1, 2018, and will air on ESPN 3.
Georgia State opened as a 6-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 142 points.
Georgia State Panthers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction
The last time the Panthers played, they topped the Texas State Bobcats, 54-50. Georgia State held the Bobcats to an effective field goal percentage of 0.368 (below their season average of 0.508). Texas State, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (8-8; 100.0 percent). Georgia State rallied around Jeff Thomas, who put up 14 points and eight rebounds.
The Red Wolves were victorious over the Appalachian State Mountaineers in their last game, 93-88. One of Arkansas State’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 27 trips to the line, three more than Appalachian State. Deven Simms led Arkansas State in scoring with 23 points on 7-for-14 shooting.
Arkansas State might struggle to put up points as they square off against one of the nation’s best defenses. Georgia State ranks 28th in defensive efficiency while the Red Wolves rank 189th in offensive efficiency.
Georgia State holds records of 16-6 straight up (SU) and 11-7 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Panthers are involved, as 10 of their 18 games have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Arkansas State owns records of 8-14 SU and 7-11 ATS. Vegas is exceedingly accurate when setting the O/U total of Red Wolves games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Thomas has averaged 14.2 points over the last five games for Georgia State.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, D’Marcus Simonds scored a game-high 33 points and the Panthers defeated the Red Wolves 79-75 but could not cover as 11-point favorites. He also had nine rebounds. The game finished with a total of 154 points, which was 12 points above the projected point total of 142 points. The Panthers had a much better turnover percentage (10.3 vs. 17.5) and had a better free throw rate (0.293 vs. 0.241).
Georgia State Panthers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Georgia State is 8-3 ATS on the road with 8 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Arkansas State ranks 44th in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while Georgia State ranks 233rd (24.5).
The Panthers rank 31st in blocks per game (4.7) while the Red Wolves rank 144th (2.9).
Arkansas State ranks 132nd in rebounds allowed per game (34.7) while Georgia State ranks 229th (37.5).
The Panthers rank 168th in assists per game (13.2) while the Red Wolves rank 249th (10.9).
Georgia State ranks 28th in steals per game (7.9) while Arkansas State ranks 103rd (6.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Georgia State is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Arkansas State is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Panthers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 7.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Red Wolves have scored an average of 69.6 points per game (3.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 76.4 points per game (0.5 below their season average).
