It will be a battle between Pac-12 opponents when the Stanford Cardinal (11-11, 5-4 Pac-12) welcome the Oregon State Beavers (11-9, 3-5 Pac-12) to Maples Pavilion. The game starts at 11 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 1, 2018.
Stanford is a 4.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 138 points.
Oregon State Beavers vs. Stanford Cardinal Free Prediction
In the Beavers’ last contest, they were defeated by the Oregon Ducks, 66-57. Oregon’s 0.404 free throw rate was their largest strength over Oregon State, who had a mark of 0.250. The Ducks’ mark was above their season average of 0.242, while the Beavers’ was below their season average of 0.286. Oregon State’s Tres Tinkle had a good outing, finishing with 11 points, six rebounds and five assists.
The Cardinal were beaten by the UCLA Bruins in their last outing, 89-73. UCLA was successful at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The Bruins made 23 of their 25 free throws (92.0 percent), while the Cardinal were 9-12 (75.0 percent). Stanford’s Daejon Davis put together a solid performance, leading both teams in scoring with 23 points on 9-for-19 shooting.
The aggressive Stanford offense could be getting to the free throw line a lot in this meeting. The Cardinal currently rank 53rd in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.280, while Oregon State ranks 264th in FTA rate allowed (0.264).
Oregon State heads into the contest with records of 11-9 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS). Of the Beavers’ 19 games with betting action, 12 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Stanford is 11-11 SU and 10-11-1 ATS. Coinciding with Oregon State, games featuring the Cardinal also tend to finish under the total (63.6 percent).
After the Cardinal won both games against the Beavers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Stanford won 79-66. The Cardinal’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Beavers. Stanford had a rate of 14.9, while Oregon State posted a mark of 26.6.
Oregon State Beavers at Stanford Cardinal Odds Pick
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Stanford, ATS Winner – Oregon State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Oregon State is 4-4 ATS with 5 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Stanford is 7-6-1 ATS with 8 unders, 5 overs and 1 push.
Oregon State ranks 78th in blocks per game (3.8) while Stanford ranks 165th in blocks allowed per game (4.4).
The Beavers rank 102nd in steals per game (6.5) while the Cardinal rank 156th in steals allowed per game (6.9).
Oregon State ranks 43rd in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while Stanford ranks 92nd (33.5).
The Beavers rank 100th in assists per game (14.6) while the Cardinal rank 115th in assists allowed per game (13.1).
Stanford ranks 250th in three pointers attempted per game (18.5) while Oregon State ranks 261st (18.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Oregon State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Stanford is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Beavers have been outscored by an average of 4.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Oregon State has defeated opponents by an average of 4.0 points.
During their last five games, the Cardinal have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
