It will be a battle between A10 opponents when the Duquesne Dukes (15-8, 6-4 A10) welcome the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (15-6, 5-4 A10) to A.J. Palumbo Center. The game starts at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 3, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports Network.
St. Bonaventure is a 4.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 139 points.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Duquesne Dukes ATS Prediction
In the Bonnies’ last outing, they topped the George Mason Patriots, 85-69. St. Bonaventure’s 0.724 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over George Mason, who had a mark of 0.474. The Bonnies’ mark was above their season average of 0.500. With 35 points on 11-for-15 shooting, Matt Mobley was the top scorer from either team.
The Dukes barely escaped the George Washington Colonials in their last game, 75-73. The Dukes held the Colonials to an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.4 (below their season average of 31.0) and had a better turnover percentage (16.8 vs. 17.6). With 15 points, Tarin Smith put together a solid game for Duquesne.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Duquesne should have a considerable advantage. The Dukes defense ranks 49th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.474), while the St. Bonaventure offense is ranked 197th in effective field goal percentage (0.509).
Mobley has averaged 17.4 points, 3.4 assists and 2.0 steals over the last five games for St. Bonaventure.
After the Bonnies won both matchups against the Dukes last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, St. Bonaventure won 80-77. St. Bonaventure’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Bonnies had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. eight), defensive rebounds (32 vs. 29) and total rebounds (45 vs. 37).
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Duquesne Dukes Free Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – St. Bonaventure, ATS Winner – Duquesne, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Duquesne ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (17.7) while St. Bonaventure ranks 170th (22.9).
The Dukes rank 31st in blocks per game (4.8) while the Bonnies rank 159th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).
St. Bonaventure ranks 50th in steals per game (7.3) while Duquesne ranks 152nd (5.8).
The Dukes average 38.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 55th in the NCAA. The Bonnies rank 133rd in rebounds allowed per game (34.6).
St. Bonaventure averages 14.3 assists per game, which ranks 113th in the NCAA. Duquesne ranks 124th in assists allowed per game (13.3).
Betting Trends:
The Bonnies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.6, down from 7.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Dukes have scored an average of 72.8 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 75.2 points per game (8.6 above their season average).
