The Princeton Tigers (12-15, 4-8 Ivy) will try to put an end to their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Brown Bears (11-14, 4-8 Ivy) at Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center. The game can be seen on ESPN Full Court at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 2, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 145.5 points with Princeton set as a 2-point favorite.
Princeton Tigers at Brown Bears Free Prediction
The Tigers will be looking for similar success after defeating the Dartmouth Big Green in their last outing, 64-47. Princeton’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Dartmouth. The Tigers had a rate of 0.578 (above their season average of 0.539), while the Big Green posted a mark of 0.330 (below their season average of 0.515). With 17 points on 7-for-11 shooting, Amir Bell was the game’s leading scorer.
In the Bears’ last matchup, they fell to the Cornell Big Red, 73-68. Cornell’s 0.491 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Brown, who had a mark of 0.368. The Big Red’s mark was below their season average of 0.528, while the Bears’ was below their season average of 0.491. With 17 points on 6-for-14 shooting, Tamenang Choh was Brown’s leading scorer.
Conflicting tempos will be on display in this matchup. Brown has preferred to play quickly (33rd in possessions per game), while Princeton has been more half-court-oriented (273rd in possessions per game).
Princeton holds records of 12-15 straight up (SU) and 8-15 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Tigers’ games have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Brown is 11-14 SU and 9-8 ATS. Unlike Princeton, just over half of Bears games have finished over the O/U total.
Choh has averaged 9.2 points and 8.0 rebounds over the last five games for Brown.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Desmond Cambridge scored a game-high 32 points in the first game, in which the Bears, who were 12-point underdogs, defeated the Tigers 102-100. He also had nine rebounds. The game finished with a total of 202 points, which was 55 points above the projected point total of 147 points. Brown had a much better free throw rate (0.404 vs. 0.188). Princeton, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (9.3 vs. 12.3).
Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bears Free Pick
Free Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Brown, ATS Winner – Brown, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Princeton is 4-10 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 7 unders.
At home, Brown is 3-3 ATS with 4 overs and 2 unders.
Brown ranks 107th in rebounds per game (36.4) while Princeton ranks 261st (32.4).
The Tigers rank 41st in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Bears rank 179th (7.0).
Princeton ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (11.1) while Brown ranks 156th (13.7).
The Tigers rank 38th in three pointers attempted per game (26.0) while the Bears rank 150th (22.0).
Princeton ranks 128th in blocks per game (3.2) while Brown ranks 196th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Princeton is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brown is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Tigers have been outscored by an average of 7.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Princeton has defeated opponents by an average of 0.4 points.
During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 72.4 points per game (4.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 76.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average).
