The Columbia Lions (8-17, 5-7 Ivy) look to snap their 11-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Dartmouth Big Green (6-19, 2-10 Ivy) at Edward Leede Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 2, 2018, and will air on ESPN Full Court.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 147.5 points with Columbia opening as a 3-point favorite.
Columbia Lions at Dartmouth Big Green ATS Prediction
The Lions are hoping for a better outcome after their 83-73 loss to the Yale Bulldogs in their last outing. Yale’s 11.6 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Columbia, who had a rate of 17.7. The Bulldogs’ mark was better than their season average of 17.3. Lukas Meisner put together a good performance for Columbia, putting up 11 points and 13 rebounds.
In the Big Green’s last matchup, they lost to the Princeton Tigers, 64-47. Princeton’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Dartmouth. The Tigers had a rate of 0.578 (above their season average of 0.539), while the Big Green posted a mark of 0.330 (below their season average of 0.515). Brendan Barry had a good game for Dartmouth, leading the team in scoring with 12 points on 4-for-7 shooting.
Points at the line could be scarce for Columbia in this meeting. The Lions currently rank 337th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.179, while Dartmouth ranks 41st in FTA rate allowed (0.192).
Columbia heads into the contest with records of 8-17 straight up (SU) and 7-9-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Lions’ 17 games that accepted bets, seven have finished under, nine have finished over and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Dartmouth is 6-19 SU and 9-7-2 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Big Green are involved, as 72.2 percent of their games have gone under the total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Big Green lost 77-74 but covered as 7.5-point underdogs. Adrease Jackson led both teams with 24 points and also had 14 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 151 points, which was just 0.5 points above the projected point total of 150.5 points. The Lions’ 35.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Big Green, who had a mark of 26.5.
Columbia Lions vs. Dartmouth Big Green Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Columbia, ATS Winner – Columbia, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Columbia is 3-5-1 ATS with 4 overs, 4 unders and 1 push.
At home, Dartmouth is 4-2 ATS with 6 unders and 0 overs.
Columbia ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (27.0) while Dartmouth ranks 211th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
The Lions rank 104th in rebounds per game (36.4) while the Big Green rank 277th (31.7).
Columbia ranks 106th in assists per game (14.3) while Dartmouth ranks 168th in assists allowed per game (13.9).
The Lions rank 94th in steals per game (6.6) while the Big Green rank 136th in steals allowed per game (6.4).
Columbia is 45th in the NCAA with 2.7 blocks allowed per game while Dartmouth is 59th with 2.9 blocks allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Columbia is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Dartmouth is 2-3 ATS with 5 unders over their last five games.
The Lions have outscored opponents by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Columbia has been defeated by an average of 0.1 points.
During their last five games, the Big Green have scored an average of 59.2 points per game (8.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.8 points per game (5.4 below their season average).
