The Georgetown Hoyas (15-14, 5-13 Big East) go head-to-head against the St. John’s Red Storm (15-16, 4-14 Big East) in the Big East Conference Tourney at Madison Square Garden. The game gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 7, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 145.5 points with St. John’s opening as a 4.5-point favorite.
St. John’s Red Storm vs. Georgetown Hoyas Betting Prediction
The Red Storm are trying to rebound after their 61-57 loss to the Providence Friars in their last matchup. One of Providence’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 25 free throw attempts, while St. John’s had just 10. Bashir Ahmed had a good outing for St. John’s, finishing with 12 points and seven rebounds.
In the Hoyas’ last game, they were blown out by the No. 4 Villanova Wildcats, 97-73. Villanova’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Georgetown. The Wildcats had a rate of 0.689 (above their season average of 0.594), while the Hoyas posted a mark of 0.451 (below their season average of 0.522). Jessie Govan had a good game for Georgetown, leading both teams in scoring with 30 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Georgetown. Georgetown ranks 312th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.9 percent), while the gambling defense of St. John’s forces the ninth-most turnovers in the NCAA (23.1 percent).
St. John’s comes into the contest with records of 15-16 straight up (SU) and 13-15-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Red Storm’s 27 games that accepted bets, 14 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Georgetown owns records of 15-14 SU and 12-13-1 ATS. Unlike St. John’s, Hoyas games have finished over the projected point total 52.0 percent of the time.
Marvin Clark II has averaged 16.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.6 steals over the last five games for St. John’s.
The Hoyas have emerged victorious in both games against the Red Storm this year, including a 93-89 victory the last time these teams met. Georgetown did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (26-34; 76.5 percent). St. John’s, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (15.7 vs. 18.3). Despite the loss, Shamorie Ponds was the game’s leading scorer with 33 points.
St. John’s Red Storm vs. Georgetown Hoyas Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – St. John’s, ATS Winner – St. John’s, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Georgetown averages 38.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 42nd in the NCAA. St. John’s ranks 289th in rebounds allowed per game (39.5).
The Red Storm average 8.7 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the nation. The Hoyas rank 204th in steals allowed per game (7.2).
Georgetown averages 17.4 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the NCAA. St. John’s ranks 191st in assists allowed per game (14.1).
The Red Storm rank 11th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Hoyas rank 122nd in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
St. John’s ranks 176th in three pointers attempted per game (21.3) while Georgetown ranks 279th in three pointers allowed per game (25.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, St. John’s is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Georgetown is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Red Storm have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. For the season, St. John’s has defeated opponents by an average of 1.0 point.
During their last five games, the Hoyas have scored an average of 78.4 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 86.6 points per game (10.5 above their season average).
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