The Washington Wizards (38-28) look to extend their five-game road winning streak in a matchup against the Miami Heat (35-31) at AmericanAirlines Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 10, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Sun.
Washington Wizards at Miami Heat Betting Prediction
In the Wizards’ last game, they dismantled the New Orleans Pelicans, 116-97. The Wizards held the Pelicans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 4.9 (below their season average of 19.9) and had a turnover percentage of 10.3 (better than their season average of 12.7). With 19 points on 8-for-13 shooting, Otto Porter Jr. was Washington’s high scorer.
The Heat beat the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 108-99. Miami’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Philadelphia. The Heat had a rate of 12.6 (better than their season average of 13.0), while the 76ers posted a mark of 15.9 (above the 12.7 mark opponents have averaged against Miami this season). Hassan Whiteside was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 9-for-12 shooting.
Washington holds records of 38-28 straight up (SU) and 30-33-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Wizards games, with 35 unders compared to 28 overs.
Meanwhile, Miami is 35-31 SU and 34-29-3 ATS. Games featuring the Heat also have gone under the O/U total 53.0 percent of the time.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Porter Jr. (19.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2.2 steals) has been great for the Wizards while Justise Winslow (11.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.8 steals) has contributed greatly to the Heat.
The Wizards lead the season series against the Heat two games to one, including a 117-113 victory in their last matchup. Washington covered as a 4-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 230 points, which was 25 points above the projected point total of 205 points. Washington made good use of their 27 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 23 of them (85.2 percent). Miami, on the other hand, was 20-27 (74.1 percent). Bradley Beal scored a game-high 30 points.
Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Washington is 19-13 ATS with 20 unders and 12 overs.
Miami is 12-18-2 ATS at home with 17 unders, 14 overs and 1 push.
In games where they allow under 100 points, Washington is 18-3 and Miami is 21-6.
The Heat are 25-15 when they reach the century mark, while the Wizards are 35-15.
Miami ranks 10th in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Washington ranks 27th (13.3).
The Wizards rank fourth in assists per game (24.8) while the Heat rank 20th (22.2).
Miami ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (25.9) while Washington ranks 16th (29.4).
The Wizards rank 14th in fast break points per game (11.6) while the Heat rank 27th (8.1).
Miami averages 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Washington ranks 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.6).
The Wizards rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Heat rank 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Washington is 1-2-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Miami is 3-1-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Wizards’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 1.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (10.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (7.0 above their season average).
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