It will be a battle between Atlantic Division opponents when the Brooklyn Nets (21-45) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (35-29) to Barclays Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 11, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 217 points with Philadelphia opening as a 6.5-point favorite.
Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
In the 76ers’ last outing, they were beaten by the Miami Heat, 108-99. Miami’s 12.6 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Philadelphia, who had a rate of 15.9. The Heat’s mark was better than their season average of 13.0, while the 76ers’ was above the 12.7 mark opponents have averaged against Miami this season. Dario Saric was Philadelphia’s leading scorer with 20 points on 5-for-10 shooting.
The Nets defeated the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 125-111. The Nets held the Hornets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.0 (below their season average of 22.4) and had a turnover percentage of 9.0 (better than their season average of 13.0). With 18 points and 12 rebounds, Brooklyn’s Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had a solid performance.
The ineffective offense of Brooklyn (23rd in the league with an offensive efficiency of 104.6) will clash against the top-notch defense of Philadelphia (fifth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 103.9). The 76ers figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 35-29 straight up (SU) and 36-28 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is exceedingly precise when setting the O/U total of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Although Brooklyn struggles winning games outright (21-45 SU), they have a respectable record ATS (38-27-1). Just over half of Nets games have finished under the O/U total.
DeMarre Carroll has averaged 19.0 points and 7.2 rebounds over the last five games for Brooklyn.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Joel Embiid led both teams with 29 points in the first matchup, in which the 76ers lost 116-108, unable to cover as 8-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 224 points, which was 10.5 points above the projected point total of 213.5 points. The Nets’ 25.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the 76ers, who had a mark of 16.7.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Brooklyn Nets Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Philadelphia is 16-19 ATS on the road with 19 overs and 16 unders.
Brooklyn is 16-14-1 ATS at home with 18 unders and 13 overs.
When allowing under 100 points, Philadelphia is 15-0 and Brooklyn is 12-1.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Nets are 17-30 and the 76ers are 32-18.
Philadelphia averages 46.5 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (46.3).
The 76ers rank sixth in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Nets rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
Philadelphia ranks 10th in steals per game (8.1) while Brooklyn ranks last (6.2).
The 76ers rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.4) while the Nets rank 21st (46.1).
Philadelphia averages 4.9 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Brooklyn ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The Nets rank second in three pointers attempted per game (35.2) while the 76ers rank 16th (29.0).
Philadelphia ranks 18th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while Brooklyn ranks last (14.5).
The 76ers rank third in assists per game (25.8) while the Nets rank 12th (23.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, up from 1.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (10.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.6 points per game (8.6 above their season average).
*****
