The Wagner Seahawks (23-9) clash against the Baylor Bears (18-14) in the NIT at Ferrell Center. The game will air on ESPN2 at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 13, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 141.5 points with Baylor opening as an 18.5-point favorite.
Wagner Seahawks at Baylor Bears ATS Prediction
In the Seahawks’ last contest, they were beaten by the LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds, 71-61. LIU Brooklyn’s 0.340 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Wagner, who had a rate of 0.186. The Blackbirds’ mark was above their season average of 0.263, while the Seahawks’ was below their season average of 0.262. Wagner’s Devin Liggeons put together a good game, finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds.
The Bears fell to the No. 18 West Virginia Mountaineers in their last contest, 78-65. West Virginia’s 31.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Baylor, who had a rate of 21.2. The Mountaineers’ mark was below their season average of 37.0, while the Bears’ was below their season average of 35.9. Baylor’s Manu Lecomte had a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 27 points on 7-for-12 shooting.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Baylor offense. Baylor ranks 257th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 19.6 percent), while the disruptive defense of Wagner forces the 60th-most turnovers in the NCAA (20.9 percent).
Wagner comes into the game with records of 23-9 straight up (SU) and 5-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Seahawks’ 8 games that accepted bets, six have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Baylor owns records of 18-14 SU and 14-11 ATS. Contrary to Wagner, games including the Bears tend to finish under the total (56.0 percent).
Wagner Seahawks at Baylor Bears Betting Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Wagner, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Wagner ranks 32nd in assists allowed per game (11.2) while Baylor ranks 217th (14.5).
The Seahawks rank 105th in three pointers attempted per game (23.1) while the Bears rank 266th (18.0).
Wagner ranks 68th in blocks per game (4.0) while Baylor ranks 205th in blocks allowed per game (4.3).
The Bears rank 39th in rebounds allowed per game (32.2) while the Seahawks rank 97th (33.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Seahawks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 6.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 70.2 points per game (5.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.4 points per game (4.7 above their season average).
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