The Atlanta Hawks (21-51) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they meet the Golden State Warriors (53-18) at ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, March 23, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221 points with Golden State set as a 9-point favorite.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
The Hawks are trying to rebound after their 105-90 loss to the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Sacramento’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Kings had 12 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Hawks had six and 40, respectively. Dewayne Dedmon put together a solid performance for Atlanta, recording 13 points and 10 rebounds.
The last time the Warriors played, they lost to the San Antonio Spurs, 89-75. San Antonio won the rebounding battle. The Spurs had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. two), defensive rebounds (37 vs. 34) and total rebounds (48 vs. 36). With 20 points on 8-for-18 shooting, Quinn Cook was Golden State’s high scorer.
Golden State could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their productive offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Warriors currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 21st in defensive efficiency.
Atlanta heads into the game with records of 21-51 straight up (SU) and 35-34-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Hawks’ games have finished under the total.
Golden State is 53-18 SU, but they are just 29-39-3 ATS. Much like Atlanta, a little over half of Warriors games have finished under the total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Kevin Durant had 28 points and five assists in the first game, in which the Warriors beat the Hawks 114-109 but did not cover as 13.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 223 points, which was 5.5 points below the projected point total of 228.5 points. Golden State’s 0.241 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Atlanta, who had a rate of 0.209.
Atlanta Hawks at Golden State Warriors Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Atlanta is 17-15-2 ATS on the road with 20 unders and 14 overs.
Golden State is 14-19-2 ATS at home with 19 unders and 16 overs.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 13-4 and Atlanta is 10-4.
When scoring above 100 points, the Hawks are 18-29 and the Warriors are 50-12.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.8) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (26.0).
The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while the Hawks rank 27th (5.5).
Atlanta ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Golden State ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.8).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (20.2) while the Hawks rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (13.2).
Golden State averages 8.1 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Atlanta ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Warriors rank 12th in points in the paint per game (44.5) while the Hawks rank 27th (40.7).
Atlanta ranks 16th in second chance points per game (12.2) while Golden State ranks last (10.3).
The Warriors rank 15th in rebounds per game (43.8) while the Hawks rank 25th (41.3).
Golden State averages 29.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Atlanta ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (30.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 5.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 102.4 points per game (12.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.2 points per game (5.1 below their season average).
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