The San Francisco Dons (22-16) clash against the North Texas Mean Green (19-18) in the College Basketball Invitational at The Super Pit. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 30, 2018, and will air on ESPNU.
North Texas opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 140 points.
San Francisco Dons vs. North Texas Mean Green Betting Prediction
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Mean Green won the most recent matchup 69-55, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 124 points, which was 19.5 points below the projected point total of 143.5 points. The Mean Green had a much better turnover percentage (3.8 vs. 23.2) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.2 vs. 12.9). Duffy was a top performer in the victory, with 15 points and nine rebounds.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, North Texas figures to have a substantial edge. The Mean Green defense ranks 83rd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.488), while the San Francisco offense is ranked 246th in effective field goal percentage (0.497).
San Francisco comes into the contest with records of 22-16 straight up (SU) and 14-20 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Dons are involved, as 55.9 percent of their games have ended under the total.
Meanwhile, North Texas is 19-18 SU and 19-12 ATS. Coinciding with San Francisco, Mean Green games also tend to go under the total (58.1 percent).
Roosevelt Smart has averaged 24.0 points over the last five games for North Texas.
San Francisco Dons vs. North Texas Mean Green Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – San Francisco, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Francisco is 7-9 ATS with 8 overs and 8 unders.
North Texas is 7-6 ATS at home with 7 unders and 6 overs.
San Francisco ranks 112th in blocks per game (3.6) while North Texas ranks 212th in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
The Dons rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (17.4) while the Mean Green rank 109th (20.8).
North Texas ranks 55th in rebounds per game (38.1) while San Francisco ranks 143rd in rebounds allowed per game (34.4).
The Dons rank 167th in assists per game (13.4) while the Mean Green rank 228th (12.5).
San Francisco ranks 204th in steals per game (5.4) while North Texas ranks 233rd (5.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Francisco is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
North Texas is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Dons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, up from 0.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mean Green have scored an average of 81.4 points per game (7.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (3.2 below their season average).
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