The Phoenix Suns (19-58) look to snap their 14-game losing streak when they go head-to-head against the Golden State Warriors (55-21) at ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 1, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214.5 points with Golden State opening as a 14.5-point favorite.
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
In the Suns’ last game, they were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 104-103. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Houston’s biggest strengths. They made 29 trips to the line, while Phoenix went just 13 times. Phoenix’s Tyler Ulis had a solid outing, recording 16 points, 12 assists and six rebounds.
The Warriors were victorious over the Sacramento Kings in their last matchup, 112-96. The Warriors forced 15 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.197). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 8-for-16 shooting.
The high-octane offense of Golden State will face off against the porous defense of Phoenix. The Warriors currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Suns are 30th in defensive efficiency. The Warriors should have the edge on that side of the ball.
Phoenix comes into the game with records of 19-58 straight up (SU) and 34-41-2 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Suns have finished under the total 51.9 percent of the time.
Golden State is 55-21 SU, but they are just 30-42-3 ATS. Just over half of Warriors games have also finished under the total.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Josh Jackson (18.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.0 steals) has been fantastic for the Suns while Quinn Cook (18.2 points and 5.8 assists) has made great contributions to the Warriors.
The Warriors have emerged victorious in both contests against the Suns this year, including a 15-point victory the last time these teams met. Golden State covered as a 5.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 233 points, which was 18 points above the projected point total of 215 points. The Warriors had a much better turnover percentage (10.6 vs. 16.7) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.595 vs. 0.543). Jackson was the top overall scorer in the game with 36 points.
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Phoenix is 21-17-1 ATS with 21 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.
At home, Golden State is 15-22-2 ATS with 21 unders and 18 overs.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 15-5 and Phoenix is 6-2.
The Suns are 15-33 when they score above 100 points, while the Warriors are 52-13.
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Phoenix ranks 28th (6.0).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.5) while the Suns rank 28th (21.0).
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.6) while Phoenix ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
The Warriors average 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Suns rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while Phoenix ranks 28th (46.0).
The Suns average 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Warriors rank last in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
Golden State averages 8.1 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Phoenix ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Warriors average 44.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Suns rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Phoenix is 3-2 ATS with 5 unders.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 9.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 99.4 points per game (14.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (5.4 below their season average).
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