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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to Chase Field to play their division rival Arizona Diamondbacks. The matchup will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will showcase the game.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Vegas is listing Arizona (-140) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+120). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 9.5 runs and -125 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -125 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs and +115 for the Diamondbacks +1.5.

The Dodgers have gone 2-2 SU this year and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 1.4 units ATS. The Diamondbacks are 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.0 unit ATS.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of two-1 in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of zero-3.

The Diamondbacks are coming off of a 2-1 loss against the Rockies, while the Dodgers just got a 9-0 victory over the Giants.

The southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. Ryu recorded 116 strikeouts in 126 innings last year (24 starts) but finished the season 5-9 overall with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. He made two starts against the Diamondbacks in 2017 and compiled a 0-1 record against them with a 6.30 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The D-backs are rolling with righty Taijuan Walker as their starter. Walker struck out 146 hitters in 157 innings last year (28 starts), while finishing the season 9-9 overall with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He recorded three starts against Los Angeles a year ago and assembled a 2-0 record with a 3.24 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.96 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 1.69 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 7.6 K/9. In three divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 4.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.69.

The Arizona hitters have produced 6.0 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team’s slashed .258/.368/.371 over its last five games and is 2-1 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by shortstop Nick Ahmed and right fielder A.J. Pollock. Ahmed is slashing .455/.500/.909 with five hits, six RBIs and three runs scored, while Pollock’s line is .364/.462/.636 with four hits, two RBIs and three runs.

Ahmed performed well against lefties last year, slashing .396/.453/.625 over 53 plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .256/.303/.427).

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 0.5 runs per game and its starters own a 0.36 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 0.82, along with a WHIP of 1.00.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .200/.256/.275 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.5 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-2 SU).

Second baseman Hernandez Hernandez and catcher Yasmani Grandal have led Los Angeles’ offense. Hernandez is hitting .333/.417/.556 with three hits, three RBIs and two runs scored, while Grandal is hitting .400/.455/.400 with four hits, one RBI and two runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .215/.308/.421, Hernandez didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .147/.241/.191 across 79 such plate appearances.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks went 11-8 SU against the Dodgers last season.

The Diamondbacks’ bullpen managed 3.63 ERA against the Dodgers last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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