The Iandian Pacers (46-32) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they go head-to-head against the Golden State Warriors (57-21) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 5, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Golden State is a 1.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 212.5 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
In the Warriors’ last game, they beat the Oklahoma City Thunder, 111-107. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Oklahoma City. The Warriors had a rate of 0.542 (below their season average of 0.572), while the Thunder posted a mark of 0.425 (below their season average of 0.514). Golden State rallied around Kevin Durant, who was the team’s high scorer with 34 points on 9-for-25 shooting.
The Pacers lost a tough one against the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup, 107-104. Denver out-rebounded Indiana. The Nuggets had 13 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Pacers had six and 35, respectively. Indiana’s Victor Oladipo put together a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 25 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
Golden State could have a tough time creating turnovers. Indiana ranks eighth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.1 percent), while Golden State forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (13.2 percent).
Golden State has a phenomenal 57-21 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 32-43-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Warriors games, with 40 unders compared to 38 overs.
Meanwhile, Indiana is 46-32 SU and 45-33 ATS. Pacers games have a tendency to go under the total (59.0 percent).
Quinn Cook has averaged 17.4 points and 5.4 assists over the last five games for Golden State.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Oladipo scored a game-high 24 points and the Pacers beat the Warriors 92-81, covering as 8-point favorites. He also had six rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 173 points, which was 27 points below the projected point total of 200 points. The Pacers had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 15.1) and had a better free throw rate (0.099 vs. 0.070).
Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 17-20-1 ATS with 19 overs and 19 unders.
Indiana is 23-16 ATS at home with 23 unders, 15 overs and 1 push.
Golden State is 15-5 when they allow less than 100 points, while Indiana is 26-3.
The Pacers are 37-16 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 54-13.
Indiana averages 18.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Golden State ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.5).
The Pacers average 8.8 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Warriors rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.6) while Indiana ranks 25th (4.2).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.5) while the Pacers rank 23rd (22.1).
Indiana averages 14.8 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.0).
The Pacers rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6) while the Warriors rank last (13.7).
Golden State ranks 16th in three pointers attempted per game (28.9) while Indiana ranks 26th (24.4).
The Pacers average 44.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Warriors rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Indiana is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 6.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.4 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
*****
