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San Diego Padres at Houston Astros Matchup

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are ready to play the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will televise this interleague matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Diego (+105) as the underdog to Houston (-125). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (+230) and Astros -1.5 runs (-260).

The Padres are 2-6 SU and have gone 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 5.3 units ATS. The Astros are 6-2 SU and 5-2 ATS. They’ve gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS.

Houston games have a 3-4 over/under record so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 4-2-1.

The Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in two of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 1.3 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to three that went under.

Bryan Mitchell (0-1, 9.00 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Mitchell started one games last year and finished the season 1-1 overall with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP.

The Stros are turning to righty Gerrit Cole (1-0, 1.29 ERA), who struck out 196 hitters across 203 innings last year with only 55 walks, while finishing the season 12-12 overall with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He recorded two starts against the Padres a year ago and assembled a 1-1 record with a 2.77 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 2.35 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

Houston’s offense has produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .274/.357/.433 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Astros’ hitters have been led by shortstop Carlos Correa and left fielder Josh Reddick. Correa is slashing .409/.444/.818 with nine hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, while Reddick’s line is .350/.458/.650 with seven hits, six RBIs and four runs.

Reddick appeared to enjoy facing righty pitching at home last year. Across 209 such plate appearances, he slashed .364/.397/.561 (a drop from his overall season line of .314/.363/.484).

For the visitors, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.97 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 6.70 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.16, along with a WHIP of 1.58.

Padres hitters have slashed .237/.313/.401 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Christian Villanueva and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led San Diego’s hitters. Villanueva is slashing .294/.368/.882 with five hits, six RBIs and four runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .370 with 10 hits, five RBIs and two runs scored.

San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Padres and Astros did not face each other last season.

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Written by GMS Previews

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