The Philadelphia Phillies are prepared to battle against the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. The action will get going at 1:35 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the game.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog to Miami (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (+175) and Phillies -1.5 runs (-185).
The Phillies are 3-4 SU and 1-5 ATS. They’ve lost 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins are 2-6 SU and have gone 2-5 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 3.5 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 2-3-1 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 3-4.
The Marlins have lost 0.1 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games.
Trevor Richards (0-1, 10.38 ERA) will get the nod for Miami. Richards did not accumulate any Major League pitching stats last season.
The Phillies are going with righty Jake Arrieta as their starter. Arrieta recorded 163 strikeouts in 168 innings last year (30 starts). Arrieta finished the season 14-10 overall with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He recorded two starts against the Marlins a year ago and assembled a 2-0 record with a 2.08 ERA and eight strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.41, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 5.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.6 K/9. In seven games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.27.
Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.339/.400 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by left fielder Rhys Hoskins and third baseman Maikel Franco. Hoskins is hitting .435/.533/.739 with 10 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Franco is batting .316 with six hits, 11 RBIs and four runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 6.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 6.75 ERA, 1.77 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.93, along with a WHIP of 1.77.
Marlins hitters have slashed .216/.297/.279 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .281/.410/.438 with nine hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Castro is hitting .314/.400/.371 with 11 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Phillies went 11-8 SU against the Marlins in 2017.
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU
The Phillies’ bullpen managed an ERA of 3.17 against the Marlins last year.
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