The New York Mets are traveling south to face off against their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. SportsNet New York will showcase the matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+130) as the underdog to New York (-150). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over seven runs and +105 for under seven. The game’s runline odds sit at -220 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and +200 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 7-1 SU this year and are 6-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 7.0 units ATS. The Marlins are 3-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. They’ve lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.9 units ATS.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 4-4 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 3-4.
The Mets have gained 4.4 units and are 5-1 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.
The right-handed Noah Syndergaard (1-0, 5.40 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard recorded 34 strikeouts across 30 innings last year (with only three walks) but finished the season 1-2 overall with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He made two starts against the Marlins in 2017 and put together a 1-0 record against them with a 1.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Marlins will put the ball in the hands of righty Jose Urena (0-1, 4.91 ERA), who started 28 games last year while finishing the season 14-7 overall with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the Mets a year ago and compiled a 2-1 record with a 2.25 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 6.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 6.75, a WHIP of 1.81 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In three games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 13.97 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.63.
Miami’s hitters have put up 3.3 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .200/.263/.269 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .286/.419/.457 with 10 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored, and Castro’s line is .297/.409/.351 with 11 hits, four RBIs and six runs.
Anderson performed well against righties at home last season. In 40 such plate appearances, he slashed .303/.425/.455 (his overall season line was .262/.337/.369).
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.32 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 1.31, along with a K-per-9 of 10.75.
Mets hitters have slashed .253/.359/.404 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Brandon Nimmo have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .333/.405/.515 with 11 hits, three RBIs and six runs scored, while Nimmo is slashing .375/.643/.500 with three hits, zero RBIs and four runs scored.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins went 12-7 SU against the Mets last season.
The Marlins’ bullpen recorded 3.58 ERA against the Mets last year.
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