The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be showing this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing Cincinnati (-190) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+165). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +110 for the Reds +1.5 runs and -120 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Reds have gone 2-6 SU this year and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 1.9 units ATS. The Phillies are 3-5 SU and 2-5 ATS. They’ve lost 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.9 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 3-3-1 so far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 4-3.
The Reds just dropped a 5-0 game to the Pirates, while the Phillies are coming off of a 6-3 loss against the Marlins.
Cody Reed will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The left-handed Reed recorded 17 strikeouts over 17 innings last year (one starts) while finishing the season 1-1 overall with a 5.09 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP.
The Phillies are rolling with righty Ben Lively (0-1, 3.18 ERA) as their starter. Lively started 15 games last year and finished the season 4-7 overall with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.
Philadelphia’s hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .248/.344/.406 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by Rhys Hoskins, who is slashing .440/.559/.760 with 11 hits, seven RBIs and six runs scored. .
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.74 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 5.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.75, along with a WHIP of 1.46.
The Reds offense has slashed .233/.316/.344 on its way to 3.1 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been spearheaded by Eugenio Suarez. Suarez is hitting .296/.424/.630 with eight hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored. He seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitching on the road last season. Across 250 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .233/.340/.300 (his overall season line was .260/.367/.461).
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Reds went 4-2 SU against the Phillies last season.
The Reds’ bullpen managed 1.33 ERA against the Phillies last year.
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