The Orlando Magic (24-57) and Washington Wizards (43-38) begin their Eastern Conference schedules at Amway Center. The game will air on Fox SportsNet Florida at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 11, 2018.
Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic ATS Prediction
The Wizards come in on a high note after beating the Boston Celtics in their last matchup, 113-101. Washington’s 0.584 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Boston, who had a rate of 0.454. The Wizards’ mark was above their season average of 0.526, while the Celtics’ was below their season average of 0.519. With 29 points on 9-for-16 shooting, John Wall was the top scorer from either team.
In the Magic’s last game, they fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 102-86. Milwaukee’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Bucks had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. five), defensive rebounds (44 vs. 38) and total rebounds (56 vs. 43). Nikola Vucevic had a solid game for Orlando, leading the team in scoring with 17 points on 8-for-17 shooting.
It could be an error-filled game for the Orlando offense. Orlando ranks 17th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.9 percent), while the gambling defense of Washington forces the seventh-most turnovers in the league (14.5 percent).
Washington comes into the game with records of 43-38 straight up (SU) and 35-43-2 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Wizards’ games have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 24-57 SU and 35-44-2 ATS. Of the Magic’s 81 games, 47 have finished under the O/U total.
Mario Hezonja and Khem Birch have played at a high level over the last five games for Orlando. Hezonja has averaged 14.0 points and 1.6 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Birch has put up 9.0 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.2 blocks a game during that span.
The Wizards have emerged victorious in all three contests against the Magic this year, including a 17-point victory the last time these teams met. Washington covered as a 5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 213 points, which was just 1.5 points below the projected point total of 214.5 points. The Wizards had a much better turnover percentage (13.1 vs. 18.7) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (32.4 vs. 27.8). Bradley Beal had a standout performance in the victory, producing 18 points, eight rebounds and eight assists.
Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Washington is 21-19 ATS on the road with 23 unders and 17 overs.
Orlando is 15-24-1 ATS at home with 24 unders and 16 overs.
Orlando is 11-9 when they allow under 100 points, while Washington is 19-4.
When reaching the century mark, the Magic are 23-31 and the Wizards are 40-20.
Washington averages 25.3 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Orlando ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.5).
The Wizards rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while the Magic rank 27th (45.8).
Washington ranks 13th in second chance points per game (12.5) while Orlando ranks 26th (10.8).
The Wizards rank 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.7) while the Magic rank 28th (48.4).
Washington averages 17.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Orlando ranks 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
The Wizards average 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Magic rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Washington averages 11.5 fast break points per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Orlando ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (12.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Washington is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Wizards have been outscored by an average of 6.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Washington has defeated opponents by an average of 0.7 points.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 97.8 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
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