The Kansas City Royals are set to host the Seattle Mariners at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. This AL matchup will begin at 2:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will be airing the game.
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Odds
Seattle (-125) is favored over Kansas City (+115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Mariners -1.5 runs (+120) and Royals 1.5 runs (-140).
The Mariners are 5-4 SU and have gone 5-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 1.3 units ATS. The Royals are 3-6 SU and 5-3 ATS. They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.8 units ATS.
Kansas City games have had an over/under record of 2-6 so far in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 6-2.
The Mariners have gained 1.1 units and are 1-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have netted 1.0 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to two which went under the total.
James Paxton (0-1, 7.45 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed Paxton recorded 156 strikeouts across 136 innings last year with only 37 walks while finishing the season 12-5 overall with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP.
The Royals have tabbed lefty Danny Duffy (0-2, 7.45 ERA) as their starter. Duffy started 24 games last year and finished the season 9-10 overall with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. He made two starts against the Mariners a year ago and compiled a 1-1 record with a 3.97 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.33 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.00 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 6.3 K/9.
Kansas City’s offense is putting up 3.2 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .245/.317/.368 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Royals’ hitters have been led by third baseman Mike Moustakas and left fielder Jon Jay. Moustakas is slashing .306/.342/.583 with 11 hits, eight RBIs and six runs scored, while Jay is batting .273 with nine hits, one RBI and five runs.
Moustakas didn’t do as well batting against lefties at home last year, slashing .241/.274/.405 over 84 such plate appearances (his total season line was .271/.313/.519).
In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.96 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 5.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.41, along with a K-per-9 of 10.47.
The Mariners offense has slashed .258/.337/.401 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Seattle’s offensive production been led by second baseman Robinson Cano and shortstop Jean Segura. Cano is slashing .414/.541/.552 with 12 hits, four RBIs and nine runs scored, while Segura is hitting .368/.415/.526 with 14 hits, four RBIs and eight runs scored.
Cano didn’t do as well hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017. Across 90 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .220/.278/.305 (compared to his overall season line of .280/.338/.453).
Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Mariners went 2-5 SU against the Royals last season.
The Mariners’ bullpen managed an ERA of 3.52 against the Royals last year.
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