The Milwaukee Brewers will take on their division rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The matchup begins at 1:15 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on FB.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
The Brewers have gone 6-6 SU this year and are 4-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 4.5 units ATS. The Cardinals are 5-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. The team’s lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.3 units ATS.
Cardinals games have an over/under record of 5-5 so far in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 5-6.
The Brewers have gained 1.4 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 3.0 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in five of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.
Junior Guerra will get the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Guerra recorded 67 strikeouts across 70 innings last year (14 starts) while finishing the season 1-4 overall with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP.
The Cards will be turning to righty Adam Wainwright (0-1, 7.36 ERA), who started 23 games last year while finishing the season 12-5 overall with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. He made two starts against Milwaukee a year ago and registered a 1-0 record with a 5.40 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In five games against NL Central opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 2.87 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.86.
The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .207/.293/.268 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Jose Martinez. DeJong is hitting .302/.333/.535 with 13 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Martinez’s line is .297/.357/.459 with 11 hits, eight RBIs and three runs scored.
DeJong enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .383/.416/.695 across 149 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .285/.325/.532).
For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.92 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.16 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.73, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K/9 of 10.08.
The Brewers offense has slashed .240/.303/.363 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this year, including 2.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Eric Thames and Christian Yelich have led Milwaukee’s offense. Thames is slashing .235/.350/.647 with eight hits, six RBIs and seven runs scored, while Yelich (.385/.407/.577) is up to 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .282/.369/.439, Yelich performed well against righties on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .313/.404/.513 across 270 such plate appearances.
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of St. Louis’ last seven games.
St. Louis has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 12 over their last 10.
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