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San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick 04/12/18

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will head east to PETCO Park to face off against their NL West nemesis San Diego Padres. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be airing the matchup.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds

San Francisco (-115) is favored over San Diego (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +130 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -150 for the Padres +1.5.

The Giants are 5-6 SU and have gone 7-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the season and 4.5 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Padres are 4-9 SU and 6-6 ATS. The team has lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.0 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 5-6-1 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 5-5.

The Giants have lost 1.0 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to four that went under.

Chris Stratton (0-1, 4.35 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Giants. The right-handed Stratton started 10 games last year and finished the season 4-4 overall with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP.

The Padres are going with righty Bryan Mitchell (0-1, 4.22 ERA) as their starter. Mitchell started 1 games last year and finished the season 1-1 overall with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP.

San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.21, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.41, a WHIP of 0.97 and a K/9 of 10.1. In seven divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.57.

The San Diego hitters have produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .227/.281/.390 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .333/.414/.529 with 17 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored, and Galvis has put up a line of .318/.423/.455 with 14 hits, five RBIs and three runs.

Hosmer performed well against right-handed pitchers at home last year. In 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (his overall season line was .318/.385/.498).

For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 6.10 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.86, along with a K/9 of 9.41.

The Giants offense has slashed .237/.290/.359 on its way to 3.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Catcher Buster Posey and second baseman Joe Panik have led San Francisco’s offense. Posey is slashing .389/.439/.611 with 14 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, while Panik (.308/.372/.538) is up to 12 hits, three homers, three RBIs and six runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .320/.400/.462, Posey seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .276/.357/.400 across 210 such plate appearances.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Trends

The San Francisco defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for San Diego over its last 10.

The Giants have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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