The Toronto Raptors go head-to-head with the Washington Wizards at Air Canada Centre to open the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game will air on ESPN at 5:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 14, 2018.
Toronto is an 8-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211 points.
Washington Wizards vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction
Both teams have won two games in the season series. The Raptors won the most recent matchup 102-95, covering as 3-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 197 points, which was 19 points below the projected point total of 216 points. The Raptors had a much better turnover percentage (7.1 vs. 16.2) and had a better free throw rate (0.256 vs. 0.177). DeMar DeRozan was a standout player in the game, putting up 23 points.
The high-powered offense of Toronto (third in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 111.6) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Washington (15th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 106.8). The Raptors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Washington holds records of 43-39 straight up (SU) and 36-44-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Wizards games, with 43 unders compared to 37 overs.
Meanwhile, Toronto is 59-23 SU and 44-38 ATS. In opposition of Washington, Raptors games have a slight tendency to go over the O/U total (51.2 percent).
Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Washington is 21-20 ATS with 24 unders and 17 overs.
At home, Toronto is 22-19 ATS with 21 unders and 20 overs.
In games where they allow under 100 points, Washington is 19-4 and Toronto is 28-5.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Raptors are 53-15 and the Wizards are 40-20.
Toronto ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while Washington ranks 23rd (26.5).
The Raptors rank sixth in points in the paint per game (48.6) while the Wizards rank 25th (42.3).
Toronto ranks second in blocks per game (6.1) while Washington ranks 20th (4.3).
The Raptors rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while the Wizards rank 17th (7.8).
Toronto averages 17.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Washington ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
The Wizards rank 14th in second chance points per game (12.6) while the Raptors rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).
Toronto ranks sixth in assists per game (24.3) while Washington ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (22.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Washington is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Toronto is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Wizards have been outscored by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Washington has defeated opponents by an average of 0.6 points.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 103.4 points per game (8.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 93.2 points per game (10.7 below their season average).
*****
