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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 04/14/18

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to host their division foe Arizona Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium. Fox Sports Arizona will showcase the action. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-170) is favored against Arizona (+160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-135) and Dodgers +-1.5 runs (+115).

The Diamondbacks are 10-3 SU and have gone 7-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 2.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers are 4-8 SU and 3-8 ATS. They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Dodgers games have an over/under record of 4-7 thus far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 6-6.

The Diamondbacks have gained 6.7 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 6.3 units and are 1-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to two which went under the total.

The right-handed Taijuan Walker (0-0, 3.27 ERA) will get the nod for Arizona. Walker struck out 146 hitters in 157 innings last year (with 61 walks) while finishing the season 9-9 overall with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He made three starts against the Dodgers in 2017 and put together a 2-0 record against them with a 3.24 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Dodgers are going with lefty Rich Hill (1-0, 2.70 ERA) as their starter. Hill recorded 166 strikeouts in 135 innings last year (25 starts). Hill finished the season 12-8 overall with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. He recorded four starts against the Diamondbacks a year ago and registered a 0-3 record with a 5.03 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have yielded 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.09, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 10 games against NL West foes, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 2.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.48.

The Los Angeles offense has produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .281/.344/.447 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Catcher Yasmani Grandal and outfielder Matt Kemp have led the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Grandal is slashing .361/.439/.583 with 13 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Kemp is batting .333 with 12 hits, four RBIs and three runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.89 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.18, along with a WHIP of 1.13 and a K/9 of 8.34.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .238/.329/.407 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Outfielders David Peralta and A.J. Pollock have led Arizona’s hitters. Peralta is hitting .333/.429/.524 with 14 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored, while Pollock is hitting .277/.352/.532 with 13 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored.

Pollock didn’t perform especially well against lefties on the road last year. Over 79 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .192/.253/.356 (compared to his overall season line of .268/.333/.475).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.

Arizona has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games SU.

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