The San Francisco Giants will take on their division rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The action will get underway at 8:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will televise the game.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Giants -1.5 runs (+140) and Padres 1.5 runs (-160).
The Giants have gone 6-7 SU this year and are 8-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline this year and 4.0 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres are 5-10 SU and 6-8 ATS. The team has lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Padres games have a 5-8-1 over/under record so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 6-6.
The Giants have gained 2.0 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 0.4 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.
Left-hander Derek Holland (0-2, 4.09 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Giants. Holland started 26 games last year and finished the season 7-14 overall with a 6.20 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP.
The Padres have tabbed lefty Clayton Richard (1-1, 5.29 ERA) as their starter. Richard started 32 games last year and finished the season 8-15 overall with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He made three starts against San Francisco a year ago and put up a 0-2 record with a 5.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.06 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.05, a WHIP of 1.03 and a K/9 of 9.8. In nine divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.95.
San Diego’s offense has put up 3.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .228/.279/.407 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva. Hosmer is slashing .288/.364/.458 with 17 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored, while Villanueva’s line is .257/.333/.600 with nine hits, seven RBIs and five runs.
Hosmer seemed to have some trouble hitting lefties at home in 2017. Across 106 such plate appearances, he slashed .224/.274/.357 (compared to his total season line of .318/.385/.498).
In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 5.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.76, along with a K-per-9 of 9.37.
The Giants offense has slashed .244/.305/.351 on its way to 3.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
San Francisco’s hitters have been led by catcher Buster Posey and second baseman Joe Panik. Posey is slashing .341/.400/.545 with 15 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored, while Panik is hitting .313/.389/.500 with 15 hits, three homers, four RBIs and eight runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .320/.400/.462, Posey seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .350/.435/.600 across 92 such plate appearances.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
San Francisco fielders have three errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for San Diego over its last 10.
The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit eight over their last 10.
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