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Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays Free Preview 04/14/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. This interleague matchup will get going at 6:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will be televising the game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Tampa Bay (-120) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+110). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at +105 for over 7.5 runs and -125 for under 7.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -190 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +165 for the Rays -1.5 runs.

The Phillies have gone 7-5 SU this year and are 3-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year, despite having lost 6.8 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rays are 3-10 SU and 6-6 ATS. They’ve lost 5.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 7-5 so far in 2018. Phillies games have gone over five times, gone under five times and pushed on one occasion.

The Phillies have lost 3.0 units and are 1-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 3.3 units and are 2-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three which went under the total.

The right-handed Jake Arrieta (0-0, 4.50 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta struck out 163 hitters in 168 innings last year (30 starts) while finishing the season 14-10 overall with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.

The Rays are turning to righty Chris Archer (1-0, 5.94 ERA), who recorded 249 strikeouts over 201 innings last year (34 starts), while finishing the season 10-12 overall with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.47, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Tampa Bay offense has produced 3.1 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.370/.371 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Daniel Robertson and second baseman Joey Wendle have led the Rays’ hitters so far. Robertson is hitting .316/.519/.368 with six hits, one RBI and six runs scored, while Wendle’s line is .273/.342/.485 with nine hits, four RBIs and three runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.29 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.05 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 8.39.

The Phillies offense has slashed .221/.316/.386 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hoskins is hitting .333/.468/.639 with 12 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, while Hernandez (.286/.444/.476) is up to 12 hits, two homers, three RBIs and eight runs scored.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Phillies have won six of their last seven games SU.

Philadelphia has recorded 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.0 over its last five.

The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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