The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Comerica Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Odds
Baltimore (-120) is the favorite over Detroit (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Orioles -1.5 runs (+125) and Tigers 1.5 runs (-145).
The Orioles have gone just 5-12 SU this year and are 6-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season and 4.7 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 5-9 SU and 5-8 ATS. They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Detroit games have had an over/under record of 5-8 so far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 6-9-1.
Right-hander Kevin Gausman will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Gausman is 1-1 with a 6.60 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and eight strikeouts across seven innings).
The Tigers are sending lefty Matthew Boyd (0-1, 1.38 ERA) to the mound. Boyd has five strikeouts and one walks to his credit, as well as a 0.62 WHIP. Boyd made two starts against the Orioles in 2017, posting a 0-0 record with a 13.50 ERA.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.4. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
Detroit’s offense has put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .231/.286/.379 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Victor Martinez and Nicholas Castellanos have led the charge for the Tigers’ batters so far. Martinez is hitting .310/.375/.476 with 13 hits, eight RBIs and three runs scored, while Castellanos is batting .291 with 16 hits, five RBIs and 10 runs.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.88, along with a WHIP of 1.59.
The Orioles offense has slashed .215/.289/.337 on its way to 3.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .309/.397/.515 with 21 hits, nine RBIs and six runs scored, while Alvarez (.320/.485/.640) has produced eight hits, two homers, seven RBIs and five runs scored.
Machado didn’t perform especially well on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .229/.268/.398 across 336 plate appearances (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
The Orioles have lost 0.9 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in three of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.4 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve cashed the under.
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit five over their last 10.
Baltimore has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.0 over its last five.
The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games SU.
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