The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the New York Mets at SunTrust Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Oddsmakers are listing New York (-155) as the favorite over Atlanta (+145). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -110 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -110 for the Braves +1.5.
The Braves are 11-7 SU and 12-5 ATS. They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mets have gone 13-5 SU this year and are 11-6 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 9.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the season and 7.3 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have a 6-8-3 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 8-9.
Noah Syndergaard will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and seven strikeouts over six innings).
The Braves are sending lefty Sean Newcomb (1-1, 4.02 ERA) to the mound. Newcomb has 22 punchouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a 1.53 WHIP. Newcomb made three starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record in 2017, putting together a 1-2 record with a 2.70 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.26, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.39 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 13 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.56.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .300/.380/.429 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the charge for the Braves’ hitters so far. Freeman is slashing .306/.470/.500 with 19 hits, 13 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Albies is batting .316 with five homers, 11 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
Freeman enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .362/.475/.638 across 160 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.31, along with a K/9 of 10.19.
Mets hitters have slashed .240/.338/.401 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by third baseman Todd Frazier and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. Frazier is hitting .293/.434/.534 with three home runs, 14 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Cabrera (.343/.377/.600) has produced four homers, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored.
Frazier seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 60 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .260/.383/.660 (his overall season line was .214/.345/.425).
The Mets have gained 2.5 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 5.5 units and are 11-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.
New York has averaged 19.7 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
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